Race 1A

peter-wenner-invitational

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Kendall Sanson 4.0% 5.1% 5.4% 6.7% 7.8% 10.0% 10.8% 13.1% 14.2% 12.8% 7.3% 2.8%
Nicolas Delfino 4.8% 6.4% 8.5% 9.9% 8.8% 11.0% 13.1% 14.1% 11.8% 6.4% 4.1% 1.1%
Adam Pokras 36.4% 23.5% 17.9% 11.8% 5.2% 3.3% 1.1% 0.6% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Cameron Hutcheson 11.1% 14.3% 15.7% 14.7% 13.4% 11.6% 8.9% 4.6% 3.5% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1%
David Berry 5.2% 7.6% 7.9% 10.1% 11.1% 12.1% 10.0% 12.5% 10.0% 7.8% 4.2% 1.5%
Manuel Gomez 2.0% 1.6% 2.7% 3.6% 4.5% 5.2% 6.9% 8.7% 11.5% 17.9% 21.8% 13.6%
Madeline Kennedy 19.1% 21.2% 16.0% 12.6% 12.9% 8.0% 5.2% 3.1% 1.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
Elizabeth Hays 3.9% 4.4% 6.0% 6.3% 7.5% 10.3% 10.5% 10.7% 12.2% 14.8% 10.1% 3.3%
Jeremy Hitchcock 5.1% 6.4% 9.3% 10.6% 12.0% 12.8% 12.3% 11.1% 10.0% 7.5% 2.5% 0.4%
Julian Soto 6.4% 7.1% 7.9% 10.1% 12.4% 9.3% 13.5% 12.2% 11.0% 6.0% 3.3% 0.8%
Jeffrey Tedmori 1.4% 1.4% 1.8% 2.0% 2.6% 4.3% 4.9% 6.4% 9.2% 14.3% 27.8% 23.9%
John Beutter 0.6% 1.0% 0.9% 1.6% 1.8% 2.1% 2.8% 2.9% 5.0% 10.5% 18.3% 52.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.