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📊 Prediction Accuracy
73.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Barbara2.04+2.79vs Predicted
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2Stanford University2.80+0.54vs Predicted
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3University of Hawaii2.03+0.91vs Predicted
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4California Poly Maritime Academy1.89+0.66vs Predicted
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5University of Southern California0.38+3.14vs Predicted
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6University of California at San Diego0.68+1.83vs Predicted
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7University of California at Los Angeles0.32+1.30vs Predicted
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8Western Washington University0.36+0.46vs Predicted
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9University of California at Davis-0.19+1.04vs Predicted
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10University of California at Berkeley-0.08-0.30vs Predicted
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11Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.51-3.11vs Predicted
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12San Diego State University-0.27-1.96vs Predicted
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13University of California at Santa Cruz-0.99-0.97vs Predicted
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14California State University Channel Islands-1.06-1.75vs Predicted
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15Arizona State University-0.39-4.57vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.79University of California at Santa Barbara2.0416.2%1st Place
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2.54Stanford University2.8033.7%1st Place
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3.91University of Hawaii2.0315.6%1st Place
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4.66California Poly Maritime Academy1.8910.4%1st Place
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8.14University of Southern California0.383.1%1st Place
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7.83University of California at San Diego0.683.4%1st Place
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8.3University of California at Los Angeles0.323.0%1st Place
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8.46Western Washington University0.362.6%1st Place
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10.04University of California at Davis-0.191.4%1st Place
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9.7University of California at Berkeley-0.081.7%1st Place
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7.89Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.514.3%1st Place
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10.04San Diego State University-0.271.5%1st Place
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12.03University of California at Santa Cruz-0.990.9%1st Place
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12.25California State University Channel Islands-1.060.5%1st Place
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10.43Arizona State University-0.391.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Kayda | 16.2% | 17.3% | 17.2% | 15.0% | 12.2% | 9.8% | 6.1% | 3.3% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Telis Athanasopoulos Yogo | 33.7% | 24.9% | 18.0% | 11.2% | 6.0% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Patton | 15.6% | 16.3% | 16.9% | 14.7% | 13.7% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Fisker-Andersen | 10.4% | 13.7% | 13.4% | 14.8% | 13.5% | 10.8% | 8.8% | 6.2% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Edward Ansart | 3.1% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 11.2% | 10.5% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 1.5% |
| Noah Barton | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 10.4% | 10.3% | 9.2% | 10.1% | 9.4% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 1.2% |
| Ian Marshall | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 10.3% | 10.4% | 8.3% | 10.8% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 4.2% | 1.5% |
| Leopold Sabharwal | 2.6% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 10.3% | 9.4% | 11.6% | 9.7% | 10.2% | 8.7% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 1.6% |
| Nathaniel Holden | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 11.2% | 10.1% | 10.9% | 11.7% | 11.0% | 6.8% |
| Luc LaMontagne | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 9.9% | 9.2% | 10.9% | 11.7% | 9.5% | 5.8% |
| Max Case | 4.3% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 10.6% | 10.7% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 3.2% | 1.1% |
| Casey Gignac | 1.5% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 11.9% | 12.2% | 8.2% |
| Grant Gravallese | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 9.5% | 12.3% | 17.2% | 29.3% |
| Kaylena Mann | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 9.4% | 10.8% | 17.2% | 32.8% |
| Sadie Hoberman | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 11.5% | 12.8% | 13.6% | 10.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.