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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Victoria1.87+5.19vs Predicted
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2University of California at San Diego1.81+4.30vs Predicted
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3University of Hawaii3.04+0.51vs Predicted
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4University of Hawaii3.68-1.55vs Predicted
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5University of Hawaii1.89+1.15vs Predicted
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6University of Southern California1.52+1.02vs Predicted
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7University of Victoria0.72+1.68vs Predicted
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8University of Hawaii1.88-1.95vs Predicted
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9University of Southern California2.64-4.79vs Predicted
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10University of California at Los Angeles1.39-2.77vs Predicted
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11California State University Channel Islands0.37-1.39vs Predicted
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12University of California at Los Angeles-0.23-1.41vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.19University of Victoria1.870.1%1st Place
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6.3University of California at San Diego1.810.0%1st Place
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3.51University of Hawaii3.040.2%1st Place
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2.45University of Hawaii3.680.3%1st Place
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6.15University of Hawaii1.890.0%1st Place
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7.02University of Southern California1.520.0%1st Place
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8.68University of Victoria0.720.0%1st Place
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6.05University of Hawaii1.880.1%1st Place
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4.21University of Southern California2.640.1%1st Place
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7.23University of California at Los Angeles1.390.0%1st Place
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9.61California State University Channel Islands0.370.0%1st Place
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10.59University of California at Los Angeles-0.230.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Berry | 5.1% | 6.1% | 9.7% | 8.0% | 10.5% | 11.9% | 14.2% | 11.7% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 3.6% | 0.9% |
| Nicolas Delfino | 4.8% | 5.3% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 10.7% | 10.3% | 12.9% | 12.6% | 11.9% | 7.8% | 4.1% | 1.0% |
| Madeline Kennedy | 20.7% | 17.9% | 15.0% | 16.4% | 12.3% | 7.9% | 5.4% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Adam Pokras | 34.8% | 26.2% | 17.5% | 10.2% | 6.3% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Julian Soto | 4.8% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 9.9% | 12.4% | 11.8% | 10.8% | 11.3% | 10.2% | 8.4% | 4.2% | 0.9% |
| Kendall Sanson | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 10.7% | 11.1% | 13.6% | 13.2% | 11.4% | 7.9% | 2.8% |
| Manuel Gomez | 2.3% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 11.7% | 17.1% | 20.6% | 13.3% |
| Jeremy Hitchcock | 6.0% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 11.0% | 9.8% | 11.8% | 10.2% | 13.1% | 11.2% | 6.3% | 3.3% | 1.6% |
| Cameron Hutcheson | 11.3% | 15.0% | 17.6% | 15.7% | 11.3% | 11.3% | 8.2% | 5.2% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth Hays | 4.0% | 5.8% | 3.5% | 5.8% | 8.8% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 12.3% | 13.8% | 12.8% | 10.0% | 3.4% |
| Jeffrey Tedmori | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 9.0% | 14.2% | 26.9% | 24.8% |
| John Beutter | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 5.2% | 11.6% | 19.2% | 51.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.