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📊 Prediction Accuracy
58.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Southern California1.52+6.04vs Predicted
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2University of Hawaii3.68+0.46vs Predicted
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3University of Victoria1.87+3.12vs Predicted
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4University of California at Los Angeles1.39+3.33vs Predicted
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5University of Hawaii1.88+1.09vs Predicted
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6University of Hawaii1.89+0.06vs Predicted
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7University of Hawaii3.04-3.52vs Predicted
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8University of California at San Diego1.81-1.82vs Predicted
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9University of Southern California2.64-4.75vs Predicted
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10University of Victoria0.72-1.22vs Predicted
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11California State University Channel Islands0.37-1.36vs Predicted
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12University of California at Los Angeles-0.23-1.42vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.04University of Southern California1.520.0%1st Place
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2.46University of Hawaii3.680.3%1st Place
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6.12University of Victoria1.870.1%1st Place
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7.33University of California at Los Angeles1.390.0%1st Place
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6.09University of Hawaii1.880.1%1st Place
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6.06University of Hawaii1.890.1%1st Place
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3.48University of Hawaii3.040.2%1st Place
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6.18University of California at San Diego1.810.1%1st Place
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4.25University of Southern California2.640.1%1st Place
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8.78University of Victoria0.720.0%1st Place
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9.64California State University Channel Islands0.370.0%1st Place
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10.58University of California at Los Angeles-0.230.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kendall Sanson | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 9.0% | 10.0% | 11.9% | 12.6% | 13.0% | 12.4% | 8.1% | 2.5% |
| Adam Pokras | 34.4% | 26.9% | 17.0% | 9.3% | 7.9% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| David Berry | 5.4% | 6.3% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 12.5% | 13.2% | 12.3% | 11.6% | 7.4% | 3.0% | 0.6% |
| Elizabeth Hays | 3.3% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 10.2% | 11.7% | 11.8% | 12.9% | 13.2% | 9.9% | 3.6% |
| Jeremy Hitchcock | 5.2% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 10.8% | 12.9% | 11.4% | 12.6% | 9.6% | 6.7% | 3.8% | 1.5% |
| Julian Soto | 5.7% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 11.9% | 13.7% | 11.6% | 10.2% | 6.7% | 4.0% | 0.9% |
| Madeline Kennedy | 21.2% | 16.9% | 17.7% | 14.1% | 13.9% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicolas Delfino | 5.7% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 10.5% | 9.5% | 12.0% | 11.1% | 10.4% | 11.4% | 8.7% | 3.8% | 1.7% |
| Cameron Hutcheson | 11.6% | 14.3% | 15.7% | 17.2% | 13.6% | 9.8% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Manuel Gomez | 1.5% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 8.9% | 11.6% | 19.0% | 19.7% | 13.7% |
| Jeffrey Tedmori | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 15.3% | 25.8% | 25.0% |
| John Beutter | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 5.0% | 9.4% | 21.5% | 50.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.