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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Hawaii3.68+1.47vs Predicted
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2University of Hawaii3.04+1.53vs Predicted
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3University of Southern California1.52+4.02vs Predicted
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4University of California at Los Angeles1.39+3.29vs Predicted
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5University of Victoria1.87+1.15vs Predicted
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6California State University Channel Islands0.37+3.55vs Predicted
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7University of Southern California2.64-2.70vs Predicted
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8University of Hawaii1.89-2.02vs Predicted
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9University of California at San Diego1.81-2.86vs Predicted
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10University of Victoria0.72-1.20vs Predicted
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11University of Hawaii1.88-4.79vs Predicted
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12University of California at Los Angeles-0.23-1.43vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.47University of Hawaii3.680.3%1st Place
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3.53University of Hawaii3.040.2%1st Place
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7.02University of Southern California1.520.0%1st Place
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7.29University of California at Los Angeles1.390.0%1st Place
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6.15University of Victoria1.870.1%1st Place
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9.55California State University Channel Islands0.370.0%1st Place
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4.3University of Southern California2.640.1%1st Place
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5.98University of Hawaii1.890.1%1st Place
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6.14University of California at San Diego1.810.1%1st Place
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8.8University of Victoria0.720.0%1st Place
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6.21University of Hawaii1.880.1%1st Place
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10.57University of California at Los Angeles-0.230.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adam Pokras | 34.3% | 26.4% | 16.4% | 12.8% | 4.9% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Madeline Kennedy | 18.6% | 19.1% | 17.8% | 14.5% | 12.2% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Kendall Sanson | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 11.0% | 13.1% | 13.8% | 12.7% | 8.3% | 2.2% |
| Elizabeth Hays | 2.7% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 7.1% | 9.3% | 10.5% | 10.3% | 11.3% | 13.5% | 14.0% | 9.3% | 3.4% |
| David Berry | 5.6% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 9.8% | 10.0% | 11.3% | 11.8% | 12.6% | 10.6% | 7.0% | 4.2% | 1.5% |
| Jeffrey Tedmori | 1.5% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 10.9% | 14.9% | 26.2% | 23.8% |
| Cameron Hutcheson | 13.6% | 13.8% | 15.6% | 13.2% | 13.4% | 10.8% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Julian Soto | 6.3% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 10.7% | 11.7% | 11.6% | 11.9% | 10.2% | 6.2% | 3.6% | 1.5% |
| Nicolas Delfino | 5.2% | 5.3% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 12.8% | 13.2% | 12.0% | 12.4% | 10.2% | 7.8% | 3.0% | 0.6% |
| Manuel Gomez | 1.6% | 1.9% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 11.2% | 17.7% | 21.6% | 13.8% |
| Jeremy Hitchcock | 5.2% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 9.7% | 9.5% | 11.5% | 13.1% | 13.0% | 10.4% | 7.0% | 3.8% | 1.8% |
| John Beutter | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 10.6% | 19.5% | 51.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.