Race 5A

peter-wenner-invitational

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Adam Pokras 36.0% 25.6% 18.3% 9.7% 5.9% 2.4% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Jeremy Hitchcock 4.4% 8.2% 8.8% 11.7% 9.3% 13.0% 11.4% 12.8% 9.7% 6.1% 3.6% 1.0%
David Berry 7.0% 6.7% 8.2% 9.8% 11.5% 12.4% 11.6% 12.0% 10.5% 6.8% 3.0% 0.5%
Madeline Kennedy 17.9% 22.0% 18.7% 13.4% 10.3% 9.7% 3.7% 3.1% 0.7% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0%
Kendall Sanson 4.2% 5.0% 5.2% 8.3% 9.5% 10.0% 11.9% 13.6% 11.6% 10.9% 6.9% 2.9%
Cameron Hutcheson 14.0% 12.7% 16.4% 13.4% 15.2% 10.3% 8.9% 5.1% 2.7% 1.0% 0.3% 0.0%
Julian Soto 6.7% 7.0% 8.9% 11.1% 12.6% 10.7% 14.0% 9.1% 9.4% 5.9% 3.5% 1.1%
Manuel Gomez 1.2% 3.1% 3.2% 4.2% 4.6% 6.3% 6.8% 7.8% 13.1% 16.6% 20.8% 12.3%
Elizabeth Hays 3.0% 3.4% 5.2% 8.3% 9.4% 11.3% 12.0% 12.9% 12.6% 12.3% 7.2% 2.4%
Tyler Wooldridge 3.2% 4.1% 5.2% 6.1% 6.1% 8.3% 10.0% 12.1% 14.6% 14.7% 10.9% 4.7%
Jeffrey Tedmori 2.0% 1.1% 1.0% 2.3% 3.6% 3.1% 6.4% 6.9% 9.6% 14.6% 25.4% 24.0%
John Beutter 0.4% 1.1% 0.9% 1.7% 2.0% 2.5% 1.8% 4.2% 5.4% 10.5% 18.4% 51.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.