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📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.80+1.62vs Predicted
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2University of Hawaii2.03+1.87vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Barbara2.04+0.91vs Predicted
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4California Poly Maritime Academy1.89+0.73vs Predicted
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5San Diego State University-0.27+5.06vs Predicted
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6University of California at Los Angeles0.32+2.34vs Predicted
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7University of Southern California0.38+1.04vs Predicted
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8University of California at San Diego0.68-0.20vs Predicted
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9University of California at Santa Cruz-0.99+3.00vs Predicted
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10University of California at Davis-0.19-0.21vs Predicted
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11Western Washington University0.36-2.66vs Predicted
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12University of California at Berkeley-0.08-2.28vs Predicted
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13Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.51-5.02vs Predicted
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14California State University Channel Islands-1.06-1.79vs Predicted
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15Arizona State University-0.39-4.40vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.62Stanford University2.8033.4%1st Place
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3.87University of Hawaii2.0316.2%1st Place
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3.91University of California at Santa Barbara2.0415.0%1st Place
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4.73California Poly Maritime Academy1.8910.5%1st Place
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10.06San Diego State University-0.271.4%1st Place
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8.34University of California at Los Angeles0.323.2%1st Place
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8.04University of Southern California0.383.7%1st Place
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7.8University of California at San Diego0.683.4%1st Place
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12.0University of California at Santa Cruz-0.990.8%1st Place
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9.79University of California at Davis-0.192.1%1st Place
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8.34Western Washington University0.363.2%1st Place
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9.72University of California at Berkeley-0.081.8%1st Place
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7.98Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.513.4%1st Place
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12.21California State University Channel Islands-1.060.5%1st Place
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10.6Arizona State University-0.391.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Telis Athanasopoulos Yogo | 33.4% | 23.2% | 17.6% | 11.1% | 7.1% | 4.7% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Patton | 16.2% | 17.1% | 16.1% | 15.2% | 12.2% | 9.4% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Chris Kayda | 15.0% | 16.1% | 16.5% | 16.7% | 13.1% | 9.6% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Fisker-Andersen | 10.5% | 12.2% | 13.1% | 14.8% | 13.9% | 11.0% | 9.5% | 6.0% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Casey Gignac | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 12.2% | 12.0% | 10.1% | 7.5% |
| Ian Marshall | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 9.2% | 10.5% | 10.0% | 9.7% | 9.9% | 8.4% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 2.1% |
| Edward Ansart | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 11.2% | 9.8% | 10.4% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 1.4% |
| Noah Barton | 3.4% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 10.8% | 9.7% | 11.7% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 2.6% | 0.9% |
| Grant Gravallese | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 11.7% | 18.4% | 29.0% |
| Nathaniel Holden | 2.1% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 10.5% | 11.2% | 11.3% | 10.9% | 5.8% |
| Leopold Sabharwal | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 9.5% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 1.5% |
| Luc LaMontagne | 1.8% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 10.9% | 10.5% | 10.3% | 10.5% | 5.6% |
| Max Case | 3.4% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 11.1% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 3.6% | 1.5% |
| Kaylena Mann | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 8.2% | 11.2% | 17.2% | 33.1% |
| Sadie Hoberman | 1.4% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 10.2% | 10.5% | 13.8% | 13.1% | 11.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.