Race 6A

peter-wenner-invitational

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

58.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Madeline Kennedy 18.2% 20.2% 16.6% 17.3% 11.4% 7.7% 5.0% 2.0% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
David Berry 4.5% 7.8% 9.3% 10.4% 12.6% 11.4% 12.6% 11.0% 9.6% 5.9% 3.9% 1.0%
Julian Soto 6.8% 7.2% 8.6% 9.0% 11.6% 13.7% 12.2% 12.1% 9.8% 6.0% 2.5% 0.5%
Adam Pokras 36.4% 26.2% 17.3% 9.6% 5.4% 3.1% 1.7% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Kendall Sanson 3.9% 4.8% 6.3% 7.4% 9.6% 11.8% 10.5% 11.2% 13.0% 11.2% 7.5% 2.8%
Cameron Hutcheson 12.6% 14.7% 16.2% 14.3% 14.7% 10.6% 8.6% 4.4% 2.2% 1.3% 0.4% 0.0%
Manuel Gomez 2.3% 3.1% 2.5% 4.3% 4.2% 6.8% 7.7% 9.2% 12.9% 14.6% 19.9% 12.5%
Elizabeth Hays 4.2% 4.6% 6.7% 7.5% 7.1% 8.9% 11.0% 12.7% 13.4% 12.8% 6.8% 4.3%
Jeffrey Tedmori 1.2% 1.1% 1.6% 2.2% 3.5% 4.2% 6.4% 9.0% 10.2% 15.7% 24.7% 20.2%
Jeremy Hitchcock 6.1% 6.7% 10.4% 9.9% 11.4% 11.4% 12.7% 11.7% 9.5% 6.1% 2.9% 1.2%
Tyler Wooldridge 3.3% 2.5% 3.3% 6.6% 6.5% 8.1% 10.0% 12.5% 12.5% 16.5% 11.5% 6.7%
John Beutter 0.5% 1.1% 1.2% 1.5% 2.0% 2.3% 1.6% 4.0% 5.6% 9.6% 19.8% 50.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.