Race 7A

peter-wenner-invitational

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

58.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Adam Pokras 33.7% 26.4% 17.9% 11.1% 5.6% 3.0% 1.3% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Manuel Gomez 1.6% 1.5% 2.0% 4.2% 3.9% 6.4% 7.6% 9.1% 8.8% 19.5% 22.6% 12.8%
Cameron Hutcheson 13.5% 12.9% 13.6% 15.9% 13.1% 10.4% 8.8% 7.3% 2.8% 1.5% 0.2% 0.0%
Julian Soto 4.5% 6.8% 8.7% 10.1% 12.4% 10.9% 12.3% 11.9% 10.4% 7.9% 3.4% 0.7%
Kendall Sanson 3.5% 5.3% 7.8% 5.9% 8.9% 10.3% 10.1% 12.8% 13.7% 10.8% 8.0% 2.9%
Nicolas Delfino 5.3% 6.6% 7.9% 8.3% 9.6% 12.4% 12.7% 11.4% 11.8% 8.4% 4.6% 1.0%
Elizabeth Hays 3.7% 5.3% 5.4% 6.7% 7.9% 9.7% 10.1% 11.4% 13.6% 13.0% 9.6% 3.6%
Madeline Kennedy 21.3% 19.1% 15.6% 14.0% 12.1% 8.1% 4.9% 2.8% 1.0% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
Jeremy Hitchcock 5.0% 7.2% 9.2% 11.9% 10.6% 12.0% 11.5% 11.6% 11.4% 6.4% 3.0% 0.2%
David Berry 6.3% 6.1% 9.4% 9.3% 11.1% 10.3% 11.7% 13.6% 10.8% 5.9% 4.9% 0.6%
Jeffrey Tedmori 1.2% 1.8% 1.4% 1.3% 3.2% 4.2% 5.8% 4.5% 10.8% 15.4% 24.9% 25.5%
John Beutter 0.4% 1.0% 1.1% 1.3% 1.6% 2.3% 3.2% 2.9% 4.7% 10.2% 18.6% 52.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.