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📊 Prediction Accuracy
20.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.7
Avg Position Diff
24
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1California Poly Maritime Academy1.62+3.95vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Barbara1.44+2.82vs Predicted
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3California Poly Maritime Academy1.20+3.12vs Predicted
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4University of California at San Diego0.52+4.56vs Predicted
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5University of California at Los Angeles0.43+3.86vs Predicted
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6University of California at Santa Barbara1.51-0.94vs Predicted
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7University of California at Santa Barbara1.35-1.31vs Predicted
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8University of California at Santa Barbara-0.40+4.68vs Predicted
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9University of California at Los Angeles-1.43+8.17vs Predicted
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10University of California at Davis-2.03+8.93vs Predicted
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11California State University Channel Islands-1.34+5.49vs Predicted
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12University of California at Berkeley-2.41+8.22vs Predicted
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13University of California at Santa Cruz-0.83+1.39vs Predicted
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14University of California at San Diego-0.58-0.75vs Predicted
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15University of California at Santa Cruz-0.29-2.88vs Predicted
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16University of California at Los Angeles-0.03-5.01vs Predicted
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17University of California at San Diego-1.56+0.69vs Predicted
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18University of California at Davis-0.91-3.15vs Predicted
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19Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.26-9.25vs Predicted
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20University of California at Los Angeles-1.03-4.47vs Predicted
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21University of California at San Diego-1.66-3.11vs Predicted
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22Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.49-4.85vs Predicted
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23Arizona State University-1.99-3.77vs Predicted
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24Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.83-16.40vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.95California Poly Maritime Academy1.6213.6%1st Place
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4.82University of California at Santa Barbara1.4415.2%1st Place
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6.12California Poly Maritime Academy1.2010.6%1st Place
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8.56University of California at San Diego0.524.2%1st Place
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8.86University of California at Los Angeles0.435.3%1st Place
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5.06University of California at Santa Barbara1.5112.8%1st Place
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5.69University of California at Santa Barbara1.3510.9%1st Place
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12.68University of California at Santa Barbara-0.401.7%1st Place
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17.17University of California at Los Angeles-1.430.8%1st Place
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18.93University of California at Davis-2.030.9%1st Place
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16.49California State University Channel Islands-1.340.8%1st Place
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20.22University of California at Berkeley-2.410.4%1st Place
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14.39University of California at Santa Cruz-0.831.4%1st Place
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13.25University of California at San Diego-0.581.6%1st Place
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12.12University of California at Santa Cruz-0.291.9%1st Place
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10.99University of California at Los Angeles-0.032.9%1st Place
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17.69University of California at San Diego-1.560.3%1st Place
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14.85University of California at Davis-0.911.5%1st Place
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9.75Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.263.1%1st Place
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15.53University of California at Los Angeles-1.031.0%1st Place
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17.89University of California at San Diego-1.660.8%1st Place
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17.15Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.490.5%1st Place
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19.23Arizona State University-1.990.4%1st Place
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7.6Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.837.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Clay Myers | 13.6% | 14.0% | 12.0% | 10.1% | 11.1% | 10.6% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ted McDonough | 15.2% | 12.8% | 12.8% | 12.6% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Downey | 10.6% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Alexander | 4.2% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Zack Taylor | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mason Schimmel | 12.8% | 14.1% | 12.2% | 10.7% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jasper Reid | 10.9% | 11.2% | 10.6% | 10.1% | 10.5% | 9.8% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Katelon Egan | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Milan | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 6.3% |
| Shanay Patel | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 11.5% | 14.5% | 16.7% |
| Joseph Silveira | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 3.7% |
| John Cornet | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 10.8% | 13.7% | 31.9% |
| Noam Elroi | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 0.9% |
| Sean Lipps | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Lucas Elliott | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 9.4% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| David Spector | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Yasminna Sanchez | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 9.4% | 10.3% | 9.6% | 7.6% |
| Kamille Romero | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 1.2% |
| Florence Duff | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| samson grunwald | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 3.8% | 1.9% |
| Stephen Burt | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 10.6% | 10.4% | 9.1% |
| David Carrion | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 9.2% | 10.4% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 4.8% |
| Will Sutton | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 11.5% | 16.2% | 15.3% |
| Jack Kisling | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.