← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Cornell University1.79+3.07vs Predicted
-
2Georgetown University1.80+2.01vs Predicted
-
3Old Dominion University1.52+2.14vs Predicted
-
4St. Mary's College of Maryland0.83+3.09vs Predicted
-
5George Washington University1.07+1.64vs Predicted
-
6U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.10+4.21vs Predicted
-
7Columbia University0.44+0.83vs Predicted
-
8University of Pennsylvania1.16-1.38vs Predicted
-
9SUNY Maritime College-0.52+1.41vs Predicted
-
10Princeton University-0.97+2.22vs Predicted
-
11U. S. Naval Academy1.18-4.60vs Predicted
-
12Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.92-5.69vs Predicted
-
13Fordham University-0.32-2.85vs Predicted
-
14Christopher Newport University-0.84-4.99vs Predicted
-
15Washington College-2.27-1.11vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.07Cornell University1.7918.1%1st Place
-
4.01Georgetown University1.8018.4%1st Place
-
5.14Old Dominion University1.5212.0%1st Place
-
7.09St. Mary's College of Maryland0.835.9%1st Place
-
6.64George Washington University1.077.0%1st Place
-
10.21U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.101.8%1st Place
-
7.83Columbia University0.444.7%1st Place
-
6.62University of Pennsylvania1.168.5%1st Place
-
10.41SUNY Maritime College-0.522.1%1st Place
-
12.22Princeton University-0.971.0%1st Place
-
6.4U. S. Naval Academy1.186.7%1st Place
-
6.31Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.927.7%1st Place
-
10.15Fordham University-0.322.2%1st Place
-
9.01Christopher Newport University-0.843.1%1st Place
-
13.89Washington College-2.270.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sophia Devling | 18.1% | 17.5% | 13.8% | 12.7% | 10.2% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Emily Doble | 18.4% | 17.3% | 14.0% | 11.8% | 11.3% | 9.9% | 6.5% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Marina Conde | 12.0% | 10.8% | 13.0% | 12.2% | 10.3% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Lina Carper | 5.9% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 9.5% | 7.8% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Arrieta Angueira Salbidegoitia | 7.0% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Katherine Mason | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 8.9% | 11.1% | 13.1% | 15.2% | 13.9% | 4.0% |
| Elizabeth Frost | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 10.2% | 8.8% | 9.9% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 6.2% | 2.6% | 0.2% |
| Adra Ivancich | 8.5% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 9.6% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 5.0% | 2.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Nicole Ostapowicz | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 10.1% | 13.2% | 16.4% | 14.8% | 5.0% |
| Evelyn Walsh | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 4.3% | 6.6% | 9.7% | 15.0% | 29.2% | 19.8% |
| Ava Farley | 6.7% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 9.7% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Deana Fedulova | 7.7% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 10.2% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Anna Robertson | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 10.6% | 13.2% | 16.4% | 13.2% | 3.6% |
| Laura Smith | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 11.8% | 12.6% | 10.2% | 6.7% | 1.5% |
| Nora Ciak | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 14.8% | 65.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.