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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.98+5.69vs Predicted
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2SUNY Maritime College3.60+6.10vs Predicted
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3University of California at Irvine3.43+5.77vs Predicted
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4Old Dominion University3.61+4.24vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University4.31+0.62vs Predicted
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6University of Miami3.99+1.00vs Predicted
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7Eckerd College3.24+2.52vs Predicted
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8Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.87-0.91vs Predicted
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9St. Mary's College of Maryland4.27-2.93vs Predicted
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10Salve Regina University3.84-2.69vs Predicted
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11Yale University4.19-4.71vs Predicted
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12Tulane University1.64+2.23vs Predicted
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13University of Washington3.09-2.82vs Predicted
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14University of Texas1.82-0.11vs Predicted
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15Harvard University4.17-8.78vs Predicted
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16University of Minnesota2.25-3.29vs Predicted
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17University of Notre Dame1.25-1.92vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.69Stanford University3.980.1%1st Place
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8.1SUNY Maritime College3.600.1%1st Place
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8.77University of California at Irvine3.430.0%1st Place
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8.24Old Dominion University3.610.1%1st Place
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5.62Roger Williams University4.310.1%1st Place
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7.0University of Miami3.990.1%1st Place
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9.52Eckerd College3.240.0%1st Place
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7.09Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.870.1%1st Place
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6.07St. Mary's College of Maryland4.270.1%1st Place
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7.31Salve Regina University3.840.1%1st Place
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6.29Yale University4.190.1%1st Place
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14.23Tulane University1.640.0%1st Place
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10.18University of Washington3.090.0%1st Place
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13.89University of Texas1.820.0%1st Place
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6.22Harvard University4.170.1%1st Place
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12.71University of Minnesota2.250.0%1st Place
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15.08University of Notre Dame1.250.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Justin Doane | 9.6% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Harry Scott | 5.9% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Rex Cameron | 4.8% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 5.0% | 2.3% | 0.4% |
| Alan Alkins | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Sean Bouchard | 12.6% | 11.9% | 10.7% | 8.9% | 10.1% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Voss | 7.8% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 9.9% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 3.2% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Spencer Verney | 4.0% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 10.3% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 6.8% | 2.9% | 0.9% |
| Austen Anderson | 7.5% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 1.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Jesse Kirkland | 8.4% | 10.4% | 10.3% | 10.7% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Clancy | 6.0% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 9.4% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Joseph Morris | 10.5% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Schuyler Hemmerdinger | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 16.9% | 24.1% | 25.2% |
| Felipe Lopez | 3.3% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 12.2% | 12.5% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 1.8% |
| Caitlynn Taylor | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 9.1% | 17.5% | 24.2% | 19.9% |
| John Stokes | 10.7% | 10.6% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Matthew Thompson | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 9.2% | 14.7% | 19.0% | 14.6% | 9.1% |
| Nathaniel Walden | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 7.1% | 12.6% | 21.1% | 42.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.