← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Stanford University2.80+1.58vs Predicted
-
2University of California at Santa Barbara2.04+1.91vs Predicted
-
3California Poly Maritime Academy1.89+1.72vs Predicted
-
4University of Southern California0.38+4.03vs Predicted
-
5University of California at Davis-0.19+5.01vs Predicted
-
6Western Washington University0.36+2.28vs Predicted
-
7University of Hawaii2.03-3.11vs Predicted
-
8University of California at Berkeley-0.08+1.49vs Predicted
-
9San Diego State University-0.27+1.16vs Predicted
-
10University of California at San Diego0.68-2.21vs Predicted
-
11Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.51-3.17vs Predicted
-
12University of California at Santa Cruz-0.99+0.18vs Predicted
-
13University of California at Los Angeles0.32-4.78vs Predicted
-
14Arizona State University-0.39-3.42vs Predicted
-
15California State University Channel Islands-1.06-2.68vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.58Stanford University2.8033.9%1st Place
-
3.91University of California at Santa Barbara2.0415.3%1st Place
-
4.72California Poly Maritime Academy1.8911.8%1st Place
-
8.03University of Southern California0.382.9%1st Place
-
10.01University of California at Davis-0.191.2%1st Place
-
8.28Western Washington University0.363.9%1st Place
-
3.89University of Hawaii2.0315.6%1st Place
-
9.49University of California at Berkeley-0.081.8%1st Place
-
10.16San Diego State University-0.271.2%1st Place
-
7.79University of California at San Diego0.683.0%1st Place
-
7.83Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.513.7%1st Place
-
12.18University of California at Santa Cruz-0.990.8%1st Place
-
8.22University of California at Los Angeles0.323.3%1st Place
-
10.58Arizona State University-0.391.1%1st Place
-
12.32California State University Channel Islands-1.060.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Telis Athanasopoulos Yogo | 33.9% | 24.1% | 16.6% | 12.5% | 6.1% | 3.9% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Chris Kayda | 15.3% | 18.1% | 16.1% | 14.4% | 13.5% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Fisker-Andersen | 11.8% | 11.5% | 13.3% | 13.4% | 12.9% | 12.1% | 9.8% | 6.4% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Edward Ansart | 2.9% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 11.2% | 10.3% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 2.8% | 1.7% |
| Nathaniel Holden | 1.2% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 9.9% | 10.5% | 11.5% | 10.8% | 12.4% | 6.1% |
| Leopold Sabharwal | 3.9% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 10.3% | 10.1% | 9.4% | 10.0% | 8.7% | 6.8% | 3.9% | 1.4% |
| Samuel Patton | 15.6% | 16.4% | 17.9% | 14.3% | 12.8% | 9.2% | 6.5% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Luc LaMontagne | 1.8% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 9.8% | 10.7% | 11.1% | 8.5% | 5.3% |
| Casey Gignac | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 10.8% | 11.3% | 12.8% | 11.8% | 7.5% |
| Noah Barton | 3.0% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 10.2% | 9.0% | 10.7% | 9.7% | 9.9% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 2.8% | 0.9% |
| Max Case | 3.7% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 10.1% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 1.4% |
| Grant Gravallese | 0.8% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 12.2% | 19.1% | 29.1% |
| Ian Marshall | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 10.6% | 11.3% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 1.7% |
| Sadie Hoberman | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 11.9% | 13.4% | 12.9% | 10.9% |
| Kaylena Mann | 0.4% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 10.5% | 18.1% | 34.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.