Race 8A

peter-wenner-invitational

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

58.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Adam Pokras 33.4% 26.6% 16.4% 12.7% 4.8% 3.5% 1.7% 0.3% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Nicolas Delfino 4.8% 5.8% 10.1% 9.3% 11.3% 10.3% 11.3% 13.1% 11.2% 7.1% 4.4% 1.3%
Madeline Kennedy 19.2% 19.9% 16.6% 15.5% 11.8% 8.1% 5.2% 2.2% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
David Berry 5.3% 6.0% 9.1% 9.5% 11.9% 11.9% 11.0% 12.0% 9.9% 9.6% 2.7% 1.1%
Kendall Sanson 3.6% 4.9% 7.1% 5.8% 9.6% 11.0% 9.9% 12.0% 12.4% 12.3% 8.2% 3.2%
Julian Soto 6.2% 6.3% 8.5% 10.4% 9.5% 11.9% 13.1% 11.9% 9.9% 7.9% 3.3% 1.1%
Manuel Gomez 2.6% 2.4% 3.2% 2.9% 5.5% 5.6% 7.0% 8.4% 11.6% 16.2% 20.8% 13.8%
Cameron Hutcheson 13.5% 15.5% 12.4% 15.2% 12.3% 11.3% 8.6% 5.5% 3.1% 1.8% 0.8% 0.0%
Jeffrey Tedmori 1.7% 1.3% 1.2% 2.4% 2.5% 3.8% 6.2% 7.8% 10.6% 14.5% 26.6% 21.4%
Jeremy Hitchcock 6.0% 6.3% 10.1% 9.6% 9.8% 11.3% 12.6% 12.0% 11.2% 6.7% 3.2% 1.2%
Elizabeth Hays 3.3% 4.1% 4.2% 5.1% 9.0% 9.5% 11.0% 11.6% 13.4% 14.1% 9.9% 4.8%
John Beutter 0.4% 0.9% 1.1% 1.6% 2.0% 1.8% 2.4% 3.2% 5.0% 9.5% 20.0% 52.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.