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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Southern California1.52+5.65vs Predicted
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2University of California at Los Angeles1.39+4.93vs Predicted
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3University of Hawaii1.88+2.73vs Predicted
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4University of Hawaii3.04-0.65vs Predicted
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5University of Hawaii3.68-2.61vs Predicted
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6University of Victoria0.72+2.53vs Predicted
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7California State University Channel Islands0.37+2.03vs Predicted
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8University of Southern California2.64-3.96vs Predicted
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9University of Victoria1.87-3.41vs Predicted
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10University of Hawaii1.65-3.72vs Predicted
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11University of California at San Diego0.49-1.88vs Predicted
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12University of California at Los Angeles-0.23-1.65vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.65University of Southern California1.520.0%1st Place
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6.93University of California at Los Angeles1.390.0%1st Place
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5.73University of Hawaii1.880.1%1st Place
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3.35University of Hawaii3.040.2%1st Place
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2.39University of Hawaii3.680.4%1st Place
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8.53University of Victoria0.720.0%1st Place
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9.03California State University Channel Islands0.370.0%1st Place
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4.04University of Southern California2.640.1%1st Place
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5.59University of Victoria1.870.1%1st Place
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6.28University of Hawaii1.650.0%1st Place
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9.12University of California at San Diego0.490.0%1st Place
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10.35University of California at Los Angeles-0.230.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kendall Sanson | 3.7% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 10.7% | 10.9% | 12.9% | 13.3% | 11.7% | 10.2% | 5.3% | 1.6% |
| Elizabeth Hays | 3.7% | 3.3% | 6.1% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 11.3% | 10.2% | 12.9% | 15.0% | 11.3% | 5.8% | 2.5% |
| Jeremy Hitchcock | 6.8% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 11.2% | 11.1% | 14.6% | 11.9% | 11.6% | 8.9% | 5.2% | 2.3% | 0.4% |
| Madeline Kennedy | 18.2% | 22.7% | 18.9% | 14.5% | 10.9% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 2.7% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Adam Pokras | 36.5% | 26.3% | 17.7% | 9.9% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Manuel Gomez | 1.9% | 1.7% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 8.4% | 10.9% | 13.5% | 15.8% | 19.5% | 10.2% |
| Jeffrey Tedmori | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 9.5% | 10.1% | 15.0% | 22.3% | 18.4% |
| Cameron Hutcheson | 14.3% | 14.9% | 15.6% | 15.9% | 14.0% | 10.1% | 7.6% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| David Berry | 5.3% | 7.5% | 10.2% | 13.1% | 13.2% | 12.9% | 12.0% | 11.4% | 8.3% | 4.3% | 1.7% | 0.1% |
| Mackenzie Cook | 4.7% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 11.1% | 12.5% | 14.2% | 11.5% | 11.1% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 1.2% |
| Joseph McArdle | 2.1% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 11.4% | 19.0% | 18.8% | 19.0% |
| John Beutter | 0.6% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 4.1% | 6.8% | 11.1% | 19.3% | 46.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.