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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Hawaii3.04+2.36vs Predicted
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2University of Hawaii3.68+0.33vs Predicted
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3University of Southern California2.64+1.04vs Predicted
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4University of Victoria1.87+1.82vs Predicted
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5University of Southern California1.52+1.62vs Predicted
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6University of Victoria0.72+2.53vs Predicted
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7California State University Channel Islands0.37+2.07vs Predicted
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8University of California at Los Angeles1.39-1.17vs Predicted
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9University of California at Los Angeles-0.23+1.26vs Predicted
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10University of Hawaii1.88-4.34vs Predicted
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11University of Hawaii1.65-4.54vs Predicted
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12University of California at San Diego0.49-2.98vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.36University of Hawaii3.040.2%1st Place
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2.33University of Hawaii3.680.4%1st Place
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4.04University of Southern California2.640.1%1st Place
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5.82University of Victoria1.870.1%1st Place
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6.62University of Southern California1.520.0%1st Place
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8.53University of Victoria0.720.0%1st Place
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9.07California State University Channel Islands0.370.0%1st Place
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6.83University of California at Los Angeles1.390.0%1st Place
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10.26University of California at Los Angeles-0.230.0%1st Place
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5.66University of Hawaii1.880.1%1st Place
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6.46University of Hawaii1.650.0%1st Place
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9.02University of California at San Diego0.490.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Madeline Kennedy | 18.3% | 20.2% | 20.7% | 15.2% | 10.5% | 8.1% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Adam Pokras | 36.8% | 28.2% | 15.6% | 9.7% | 5.7% | 2.9% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cameron Hutcheson | 13.8% | 14.3% | 17.3% | 13.7% | 14.7% | 12.6% | 7.2% | 3.7% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| David Berry | 5.4% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 12.2% | 12.1% | 13.2% | 13.3% | 10.5% | 8.1% | 5.4% | 3.3% | 0.6% |
| Kendall Sanson | 4.2% | 4.9% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 10.7% | 10.4% | 12.7% | 12.2% | 10.9% | 10.0% | 5.6% | 2.5% |
| Manuel Gomez | 2.0% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 14.6% | 17.2% | 17.0% | 11.6% |
| Jeffrey Tedmori | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 10.1% | 17.0% | 20.0% | 19.9% |
| Elizabeth Hays | 4.4% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 12.3% | 13.3% | 12.3% | 10.4% | 6.6% | 3.0% |
| John Beutter | 0.8% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 8.0% | 10.9% | 20.6% | 42.8% |
| Jeremy Hitchcock | 6.0% | 8.0% | 9.7% | 11.8% | 11.7% | 13.8% | 12.3% | 11.0% | 7.9% | 5.1% | 1.8% | 0.9% |
| Mackenzie Cook | 4.8% | 4.2% | 7.1% | 9.1% | 11.5% | 11.3% | 11.4% | 15.0% | 13.1% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 1.3% |
| Joseph McArdle | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 12.6% | 17.0% | 19.8% | 17.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.