Race 11A

peter-wenner-invitational

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

58.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Jeremy Hitchcock 6.2% 7.3% 9.1% 9.5% 11.8% 14.3% 13.4% 11.8% 7.7% 5.7% 2.7% 0.5%
Madeline Kennedy 19.3% 21.4% 17.9% 15.3% 11.2% 7.3% 5.0% 1.7% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
Elizabeth Hays 4.5% 3.6% 5.7% 7.4% 10.0% 10.3% 10.2% 13.5% 14.5% 11.4% 6.1% 2.8%
David Berry 5.2% 6.4% 9.5% 12.0% 13.7% 11.3% 14.4% 9.6% 9.6% 5.2% 2.0% 1.1%
Adam Pokras 37.7% 25.6% 15.7% 10.5% 4.9% 3.3% 2.0% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Mackenzie Cook 4.9% 5.5% 8.6% 8.8% 9.5% 13.0% 13.2% 11.6% 11.3% 8.7% 3.5% 1.4%
Kendall Sanson 4.6% 5.8% 6.8% 8.7% 10.5% 10.7% 12.1% 12.9% 11.2% 9.5% 5.1% 2.1%
Jeffrey Tedmori 0.9% 1.8% 3.2% 3.4% 3.3% 4.9% 6.3% 9.3% 11.1% 12.8% 23.5% 19.5%
Cameron Hutcheson 12.6% 17.4% 17.4% 15.6% 14.1% 9.8% 5.6% 4.8% 2.0% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1%
Joseph McArdle 1.4% 2.3% 2.8% 3.6% 3.5% 5.5% 7.4% 9.0% 12.5% 16.8% 19.7% 15.5%
Manuel Gomez 2.1% 1.9% 2.1% 3.9% 4.8% 7.1% 7.5% 11.2% 12.7% 16.3% 19.0% 11.4%
John Beutter 0.6% 1.0% 1.2% 1.3% 2.7% 2.5% 2.9% 4.4% 6.7% 13.0% 18.1% 45.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.