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📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Barbara2.04+2.75vs Predicted
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2Stanford University2.80+0.61vs Predicted
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3Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.51+5.08vs Predicted
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4University of Hawaii2.03-0.02vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Cruz-0.99+7.14vs Predicted
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6California Poly Maritime Academy1.89-1.26vs Predicted
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7University of California at Los Angeles0.32+1.22vs Predicted
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8San Diego State University-0.27+1.99vs Predicted
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9University of California at Berkeley-0.08+0.68vs Predicted
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10Western Washington University0.36-1.72vs Predicted
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11University of California at San Diego0.68-3.23vs Predicted
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12California State University Channel Islands-1.06+0.41vs Predicted
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13University of California at Davis-0.19-3.13vs Predicted
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14University of Southern California0.38-5.99vs Predicted
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15Arizona State University-0.39-4.51vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.75University of California at Santa Barbara2.0417.2%1st Place
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2.61Stanford University2.8032.6%1st Place
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8.08Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.513.1%1st Place
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3.98University of Hawaii2.0315.4%1st Place
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12.14University of California at Santa Cruz-0.990.8%1st Place
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4.74California Poly Maritime Academy1.899.8%1st Place
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8.22University of California at Los Angeles0.323.2%1st Place
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9.99San Diego State University-0.272.1%1st Place
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9.68University of California at Berkeley-0.081.9%1st Place
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8.28Western Washington University0.363.2%1st Place
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7.77University of California at San Diego0.682.9%1st Place
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12.41California State University Channel Islands-1.060.7%1st Place
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9.87University of California at Davis-0.191.7%1st Place
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8.01University of Southern California0.383.9%1st Place
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10.49Arizona State University-0.391.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Kayda | 17.2% | 17.0% | 17.9% | 15.3% | 11.3% | 9.2% | 5.3% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Telis Athanasopoulos Yogo | 32.6% | 23.8% | 18.0% | 11.4% | 7.5% | 4.3% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Max Case | 3.1% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 10.1% | 10.2% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 1.4% |
| Samuel Patton | 15.4% | 16.9% | 15.3% | 15.3% | 12.6% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Grant Gravallese | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 8.7% | 11.5% | 20.0% | 29.2% |
| Jacob Fisker-Andersen | 9.8% | 12.8% | 14.4% | 13.3% | 13.5% | 11.0% | 9.4% | 7.4% | 4.0% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ian Marshall | 3.2% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 11.6% | 8.0% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 1.8% |
| Casey Gignac | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 9.4% | 10.7% | 13.1% | 11.1% | 6.8% |
| Luc LaMontagne | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 10.4% | 10.8% | 11.2% | 11.3% | 8.2% | 5.2% |
| Leopold Sabharwal | 3.2% | 3.0% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 10.8% | 10.8% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 3.9% | 1.5% |
| Noah Barton | 2.9% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 10.3% | 11.1% | 10.0% | 10.7% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 0.9% |
| Kaylena Mann | 0.7% | 0.4% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 8.2% | 10.6% | 19.3% | 34.8% |
| Nathaniel Holden | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 10.4% | 12.3% | 11.7% | 9.8% | 6.7% |
| Edward Ansart | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 10.1% | 10.9% | 10.5% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 1.6% |
| Sadie Hoberman | 1.6% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 9.6% | 10.9% | 13.8% | 13.8% | 10.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.