Race 12A

peter-wenner-invitational

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Madeline Kennedy 17.9% 20.9% 19.8% 15.5% 10.8% 8.1% 3.7% 1.9% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Jeremy Hitchcock 5.0% 8.9% 9.6% 9.8% 13.1% 13.4% 12.3% 11.3% 8.4% 5.4% 2.4% 0.4%
Mackenzie Cook 5.9% 5.2% 7.4% 9.4% 10.1% 11.7% 12.4% 13.7% 11.7% 7.2% 4.4% 0.9%
Kendall Sanson 3.5% 4.1% 7.6% 9.0% 11.2% 11.7% 13.1% 11.2% 10.8% 10.1% 6.0% 1.7%
Elizabeth Hays 3.2% 5.7% 5.3% 7.7% 9.4% 10.6% 11.5% 14.3% 11.5% 11.0% 6.2% 3.6%
Adam Pokras 37.1% 26.7% 16.4% 9.7% 6.2% 2.6% 0.9% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
David Berry 7.2% 6.5% 10.4% 11.6% 11.5% 12.9% 13.4% 10.0% 8.4% 5.0% 2.4% 0.7%
Cameron Hutcheson 14.8% 16.0% 16.1% 15.6% 11.6% 10.6% 7.2% 4.2% 2.6% 0.8% 0.4% 0.1%
Jeffrey Tedmori 1.1% 1.6% 1.5% 2.2% 4.2% 4.9% 6.5% 9.1% 13.5% 16.0% 22.5% 16.9%
John Beutter 0.6% 0.6% 1.4% 2.4% 2.4% 3.0% 3.1% 5.0% 7.1% 10.8% 18.4% 45.2%
Manuel Gomez 2.1% 2.2% 1.9% 4.4% 5.7% 5.9% 8.2% 9.6% 13.4% 17.5% 15.2% 13.9%
Joseph McArdle 1.6% 1.6% 2.6% 2.7% 3.8% 4.6% 7.7% 9.5% 11.3% 15.9% 22.1% 16.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.