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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Hawaii3.04+2.38vs Predicted
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2University of Hawaii3.68+0.32vs Predicted
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3University of Southern California1.52+3.59vs Predicted
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4University of Hawaii1.88+1.80vs Predicted
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5University of Victoria0.72+3.48vs Predicted
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6California State University Channel Islands0.37+3.22vs Predicted
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7University of Southern California2.64-2.95vs Predicted
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8University of California at Los Angeles1.39-1.13vs Predicted
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9University of Victoria1.87-3.33vs Predicted
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10University of Hawaii1.65-3.75vs Predicted
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11University of California at Los Angeles-0.23-0.62vs Predicted
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12University of California at San Diego0.49-3.01vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.38University of Hawaii3.040.2%1st Place
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2.32University of Hawaii3.680.4%1st Place
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6.59University of Southern California1.520.0%1st Place
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5.8University of Hawaii1.880.1%1st Place
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8.48University of Victoria0.720.0%1st Place
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9.22California State University Channel Islands0.370.0%1st Place
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4.05University of Southern California2.640.1%1st Place
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6.87University of California at Los Angeles1.390.0%1st Place
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5.67University of Victoria1.870.1%1st Place
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6.25University of Hawaii1.650.1%1st Place
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10.38University of California at Los Angeles-0.230.0%1st Place
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8.99University of California at San Diego0.490.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Madeline Kennedy | 18.9% | 20.5% | 18.4% | 15.9% | 10.9% | 7.7% | 5.1% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Adam Pokras | 36.9% | 27.9% | 15.4% | 10.4% | 6.1% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kendall Sanson | 4.7% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 10.5% | 9.8% | 11.9% | 14.4% | 14.4% | 9.1% | 4.4% | 1.2% |
| Jeremy Hitchcock | 5.0% | 7.1% | 9.2% | 11.5% | 13.4% | 13.0% | 13.9% | 10.8% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 3.0% | 0.5% |
| Manuel Gomez | 1.5% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 10.6% | 13.4% | 16.1% | 17.2% | 11.7% |
| Jeffrey Tedmori | 1.6% | 0.8% | 2.1% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 8.9% | 10.2% | 15.6% | 23.3% | 19.5% |
| Cameron Hutcheson | 14.6% | 14.2% | 17.7% | 14.7% | 12.4% | 10.5% | 7.9% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Elizabeth Hays | 3.5% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 10.9% | 10.4% | 12.9% | 13.2% | 10.9% | 6.9% | 2.7% |
| David Berry | 5.6% | 6.9% | 10.1% | 11.8% | 12.9% | 13.9% | 12.6% | 11.9% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 1.7% | 0.3% |
| Mackenzie Cook | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 11.0% | 13.2% | 13.0% | 11.9% | 11.0% | 7.6% | 3.9% | 1.1% |
| John Beutter | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 7.4% | 10.4% | 18.0% | 47.8% |
| Joseph McArdle | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 12.9% | 17.9% | 21.3% | 15.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.