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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Hawaii2.32+2.60vs Predicted
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2University of Victoria1.65+3.05vs Predicted
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3University of Hawaii1.65+2.02vs Predicted
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4University of Hawaii0.83+3.19vs Predicted
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5University of California at San Diego1.60+0.23vs Predicted
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6University of California at Los Angeles0.58+1.80vs Predicted
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7University of Hawaii1.26-1.09vs Predicted
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8University of California at Los Angeles-0.17+1.40vs Predicted
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9University of Southern California0.78-1.87vs Predicted
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10University of Southern California2.47-6.72vs Predicted
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11University of Victoria0.20-2.22vs Predicted
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12California State University Channel Islands-0.19-2.41vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.6University of Hawaii2.320.2%1st Place
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5.05University of Victoria1.650.1%1st Place
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5.02University of Hawaii1.650.1%1st Place
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7.19University of Hawaii0.830.0%1st Place
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5.23University of California at San Diego1.600.1%1st Place
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7.8University of California at Los Angeles0.580.0%1st Place
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5.91University of Hawaii1.260.1%1st Place
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9.4University of California at Los Angeles-0.170.0%1st Place
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7.13University of Southern California0.780.0%1st Place
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3.28University of Southern California2.470.2%1st Place
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8.78University of Victoria0.200.0%1st Place
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9.59California State University Channel Islands-0.190.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Giacomo Paoletti | 20.8% | 16.7% | 17.3% | 14.7% | 11.1% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Reid Cannon | 9.1% | 12.1% | 13.3% | 9.9% | 13.7% | 10.2% | 11.3% | 8.6% | 6.0% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 0.3% |
| Cecilia Jansson | 11.3% | 11.1% | 11.1% | 11.6% | 10.1% | 13.9% | 10.0% | 10.4% | 5.4% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| Patrick Manuel | 4.0% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 10.4% | 10.2% | 10.8% | 13.0% | 11.4% | 9.2% | 5.7% |
| John Olson | 9.8% | 12.4% | 10.2% | 11.4% | 11.0% | 11.3% | 9.6% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 0.8% |
| Sarah Wyman | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 9.8% | 10.6% | 12.5% | 15.3% | 13.6% | 8.0% |
| Colton Saunders | 8.2% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 11.6% | 11.1% | 10.5% | 10.5% | 9.6% | 6.9% | 4.4% | 1.7% |
| Gabrielle Robertson | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 12.8% | 18.7% | 30.1% |
| Olivia Gebelein | 4.4% | 3.7% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 10.6% | 9.5% | 11.2% | 11.5% | 11.6% | 12.1% | 9.0% | 4.6% |
| John Coakley | 23.5% | 21.0% | 16.0% | 14.6% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Emma Dayton | 2.6% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 11.8% | 16.1% | 18.2% | 17.3% |
| Bianca Barnes | 1.0% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 3.2% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 9.4% | 13.1% | 20.4% | 31.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.