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📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.80+1.52vs Predicted
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2University of Hawaii2.03+1.92vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Barbara2.04+0.73vs Predicted
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4Western Washington University0.36+4.40vs Predicted
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5University of California at San Diego0.68+2.82vs Predicted
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6California Poly Maritime Academy1.89-1.38vs Predicted
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7San Diego State University-0.27+3.15vs Predicted
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8University of California at Santa Cruz-0.99+4.14vs Predicted
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9University of California at Davis-0.19+1.01vs Predicted
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10University of California at Los Angeles0.32-1.69vs Predicted
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11University of California at Berkeley-0.08-1.33vs Predicted
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12Arizona State University-0.39-1.59vs Predicted
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13University of Southern California0.38-4.84vs Predicted
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14Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.51-6.03vs Predicted
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15California State University Channel Islands-1.06-2.84vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.52Stanford University2.8033.0%1st Place
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3.92University of Hawaii2.0316.4%1st Place
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3.73University of California at Santa Barbara2.0417.2%1st Place
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8.4Western Washington University0.362.9%1st Place
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7.82University of California at San Diego0.683.5%1st Place
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4.62California Poly Maritime Academy1.8910.3%1st Place
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10.15San Diego State University-0.271.6%1st Place
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12.14University of California at Santa Cruz-0.990.9%1st Place
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10.01University of California at Davis-0.191.8%1st Place
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8.31University of California at Los Angeles0.323.0%1st Place
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9.67University of California at Berkeley-0.081.4%1st Place
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10.41Arizona State University-0.391.2%1st Place
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8.16University of Southern California0.383.1%1st Place
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7.97Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.513.1%1st Place
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12.16California State University Channel Islands-1.060.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Telis Athanasopoulos Yogo | 33.0% | 25.6% | 18.6% | 11.3% | 5.8% | 3.6% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Patton | 16.4% | 17.0% | 14.9% | 14.2% | 12.8% | 9.6% | 7.5% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Chris Kayda | 17.2% | 17.5% | 17.2% | 15.2% | 13.2% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Leopold Sabharwal | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 10.4% | 10.8% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 1.8% |
| Noah Barton | 3.5% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 11.2% | 9.7% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 1.1% |
| Jacob Fisker-Andersen | 10.3% | 12.4% | 15.3% | 14.8% | 13.0% | 11.3% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Casey Gignac | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 10.8% | 11.4% | 11.8% | 11.9% | 7.7% |
| Grant Gravallese | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 12.3% | 19.2% | 29.8% |
| Nathaniel Holden | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 10.3% | 12.1% | 11.2% | 10.2% | 7.6% |
| Ian Marshall | 3.0% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 4.1% | 1.8% |
| Luc LaMontagne | 1.4% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 10.2% | 10.0% | 11.0% | 9.8% | 5.8% |
| Sadie Hoberman | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 10.2% | 13.5% | 13.0% | 10.0% |
| Edward Ansart | 3.1% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 9.7% | 11.0% | 10.8% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 1.6% |
| Max Case | 3.1% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 9.4% | 10.9% | 10.1% | 11.1% | 9.7% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 0.8% |
| Kaylena Mann | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 11.2% | 16.6% | 31.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.