Race 2B

peter-wenner-invitational

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Giacomo Paoletti 20.0% 18.2% 16.7% 14.3% 10.9% 8.8% 4.4% 3.5% 1.8% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%
Olivia Gebelein 3.5% 4.4% 6.7% 7.2% 7.6% 8.7% 8.9% 12.1% 12.4% 13.3% 10.0% 5.2%
Reid Cannon 11.1% 10.4% 11.7% 10.8% 11.2% 12.4% 11.1% 10.8% 5.1% 3.8% 1.0% 0.6%
John Olson 8.5% 11.1% 11.6% 11.5% 13.2% 11.2% 10.1% 9.4% 6.5% 4.2% 2.4% 0.3%
Sarah Wyman 2.8% 4.7% 3.8% 6.3% 6.5% 7.7% 9.2% 10.0% 12.3% 14.1% 13.6% 9.0%
Cecilia Jansson 10.8% 11.1% 10.2% 11.5% 13.3% 11.4% 10.5% 8.6% 6.2% 4.6% 1.2% 0.6%
Gabrielle Robertson 2.2% 2.7% 2.1% 2.4% 2.7% 5.0% 5.7% 7.4% 9.1% 11.7% 20.0% 29.0%
Colton Saunders 8.8% 6.6% 9.8% 9.9% 8.9% 10.8% 10.5% 10.7% 10.7% 6.8% 5.0% 1.5%
Patrick Manuel 4.1% 4.7% 5.2% 9.4% 9.0% 9.5% 10.3% 11.3% 11.8% 12.2% 7.9% 4.6%
John Coakley 24.3% 21.3% 16.5% 12.1% 9.8% 7.2% 4.4% 2.8% 1.5% 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Bianca Barnes 2.0% 1.4% 1.7% 2.0% 3.3% 3.2% 5.7% 5.6% 9.2% 13.6% 21.0% 31.3%
Emma Dayton 1.9% 3.4% 4.0% 2.6% 3.6% 4.1% 9.2% 7.8% 13.4% 14.7% 17.5% 17.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.