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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.4
Avg Position Diff
24
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Barbara-0.40+11.74vs Predicted
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2California Poly Maritime Academy1.20+4.10vs Predicted
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3California Poly Maritime Academy1.62+1.84vs Predicted
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4University of California at Los Angeles0.43+4.89vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Barbara1.51+0.23vs Predicted
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6University of California at Santa Barbara1.44-1.32vs Predicted
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7University of California at Santa Barbara1.35-1.37vs Predicted
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8University of California at San Diego0.00+2.82vs Predicted
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9University of California at San Diego-1.66+9.03vs Predicted
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10University of California at San Diego-0.58+3.31vs Predicted
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11University of California at Los Angeles-0.03-0.10vs Predicted
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12University of California at Los Angeles-1.03+3.42vs Predicted
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13University of California at San Diego-1.56+4.51vs Predicted
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14University of California at Santa Cruz-0.29-1.72vs Predicted
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15University of California at Santa Cruz-0.83-0.52vs Predicted
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16University of California at Berkeley-2.41+4.73vs Predicted
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17University of California at Davis-2.03+2.36vs Predicted
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18University of California at Davis-0.91-3.11vs Predicted
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19University of California at Los Angeles-1.43-1.93vs Predicted
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20California State University Channel Islands-1.34-3.16vs Predicted
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21Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.26-11.26vs Predicted
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22Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.83-14.72vs Predicted
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23Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.49-5.43vs Predicted
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24Arizona State University-1.15-8.35vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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12.74University of California at Santa Barbara-0.402.1%1st Place
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6.1California Poly Maritime Academy1.209.5%1st Place
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4.84California Poly Maritime Academy1.6215.3%1st Place
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8.89University of California at Los Angeles0.434.0%1st Place
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5.23University of California at Santa Barbara1.5112.7%1st Place
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4.68University of California at Santa Barbara1.4415.3%1st Place
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5.63University of California at Santa Barbara1.3510.8%1st Place
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10.82University of California at San Diego0.003.0%1st Place
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18.03University of California at San Diego-1.660.5%1st Place
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13.31University of California at San Diego-0.581.3%1st Place
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10.9University of California at Los Angeles-0.033.6%1st Place
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15.42University of California at Los Angeles-1.031.1%1st Place
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17.51University of California at San Diego-1.560.4%1st Place
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12.28University of California at Santa Cruz-0.291.4%1st Place
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14.48University of California at Santa Cruz-0.831.5%1st Place
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20.73University of California at Berkeley-2.410.2%1st Place
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19.36University of California at Davis-2.030.5%1st Place
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14.89University of California at Davis-0.911.6%1st Place
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17.07University of California at Los Angeles-1.430.9%1st Place
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16.84California State University Channel Islands-1.340.6%1st Place
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9.74Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.264.3%1st Place
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7.28Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.837.5%1st Place
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17.57Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.490.6%1st Place
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15.65Arizona State University-1.151.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Katelon Egan | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Ryan Downey | 9.5% | 9.8% | 10.7% | 9.5% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Clay Myers | 15.3% | 12.9% | 12.3% | 11.9% | 10.7% | 9.4% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Zack Taylor | 4.0% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mason Schimmel | 12.7% | 12.3% | 11.6% | 12.0% | 9.9% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ted McDonough | 15.3% | 13.6% | 13.7% | 11.7% | 10.5% | 9.4% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jasper Reid | 10.8% | 11.7% | 10.9% | 10.7% | 9.6% | 10.1% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Bastuba | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Stephen Burt | 0.5% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 11.4% | 12.7% | 9.3% |
| Sean Lipps | 1.3% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| David Spector | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| samson grunwald | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 1.9% |
| Yasminna Sanchez | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 10.5% | 9.8% | 8.2% |
| Lucas Elliott | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Noam Elroi | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 1.1% |
| John Cornet | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 10.8% | 15.2% | 35.2% |
| Shanay Patel | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 10.5% | 15.4% | 19.8% |
| Kamille Romero | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 1.6% |
| Christopher Milan | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 6.4% |
| Joseph Silveira | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 5.1% |
| Florence Duff | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jack Kisling | 7.5% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| David Carrion | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 9.9% | 9.6% | 10.7% | 8.2% |
| Riley Glascoe | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 2.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.