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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Southern California2.47+2.34vs Predicted
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2University of Hawaii2.32+1.56vs Predicted
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3University of California at San Diego1.60+2.17vs Predicted
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4University of Victoria0.20+4.73vs Predicted
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5University of Victoria1.65+0.11vs Predicted
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6University of Hawaii1.26+0.02vs Predicted
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7University of California at Los Angeles0.58+0.68vs Predicted
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8University of Hawaii1.65-3.02vs Predicted
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9University of Southern California0.78-1.89vs Predicted
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10University of Hawaii0.83-2.92vs Predicted
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11University of California at Los Angeles-0.17-1.40vs Predicted
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12California State University Channel Islands-0.19-2.40vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.34University of Southern California2.470.2%1st Place
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3.56University of Hawaii2.320.2%1st Place
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5.17University of California at San Diego1.600.1%1st Place
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8.73University of Victoria0.200.0%1st Place
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5.11University of Victoria1.650.1%1st Place
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6.02University of Hawaii1.260.1%1st Place
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7.68University of California at Los Angeles0.580.0%1st Place
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4.98University of Hawaii1.650.1%1st Place
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7.11University of Southern California0.780.0%1st Place
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7.08University of Hawaii0.830.0%1st Place
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9.6University of California at Los Angeles-0.170.0%1st Place
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9.6California State University Channel Islands-0.190.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Coakley | 22.0% | 19.8% | 18.9% | 13.5% | 10.4% | 6.3% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Giacomo Paoletti | 19.8% | 19.7% | 16.7% | 13.2% | 10.4% | 9.1% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Olson | 11.1% | 8.9% | 10.8% | 12.2% | 11.6% | 11.8% | 10.9% | 10.3% | 6.6% | 3.9% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| Emma Dayton | 1.4% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 11.4% | 15.7% | 17.3% | 17.2% |
| Reid Cannon | 10.2% | 10.4% | 11.7% | 12.5% | 12.6% | 11.3% | 9.5% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 0.5% |
| Colton Saunders | 7.3% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 11.5% | 11.5% | 10.7% | 10.4% | 7.1% | 4.6% | 1.6% |
| Sarah Wyman | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 10.5% | 12.7% | 14.8% | 11.5% | 8.9% |
| Cecilia Jansson | 12.5% | 11.3% | 10.4% | 12.9% | 11.2% | 9.2% | 12.5% | 8.4% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 2.0% | 0.7% |
| Olivia Gebelein | 3.7% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 10.8% | 11.1% | 11.9% | 11.4% | 12.2% | 8.6% | 4.5% |
| Patrick Manuel | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 10.4% | 11.9% | 12.4% | 11.6% | 9.8% | 4.3% |
| Gabrielle Robertson | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 9.9% | 13.3% | 21.1% | 30.9% |
| Bianca Barnes | 1.0% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 12.9% | 21.1% | 30.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.