Race 4B

peter-wenner-invitational

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

41.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Reid Cannon 10.0% 9.7% 11.4% 12.1% 12.7% 12.6% 9.8% 8.6% 6.7% 4.1% 1.8% 0.5%
John Olson 8.1% 11.1% 12.0% 11.3% 11.9% 10.7% 12.3% 8.7% 6.7% 4.3% 2.3% 0.6%
John Coakley 24.9% 18.3% 15.9% 14.7% 10.8% 6.3% 5.0% 2.9% 0.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
Colton Saunders 6.0% 7.2% 8.9% 10.3% 10.3% 11.6% 10.9% 12.1% 10.1% 6.7% 4.1% 1.8%
Emma Dayton 2.4% 2.7% 3.7% 3.9% 4.0% 5.5% 8.0% 8.5% 11.1% 13.8% 19.2% 17.2%
Cecilia Jansson 10.6% 10.5% 11.5% 11.9% 11.4% 12.8% 10.2% 8.2% 5.7% 5.2% 1.6% 0.4%
Olivia Gebelein 5.0% 4.5% 5.9% 6.8% 9.0% 8.5% 9.8% 10.7% 13.9% 11.2% 9.4% 5.3%
Patrick Manuel 5.6% 5.4% 5.3% 7.1% 8.2% 8.9% 9.4% 12.1% 12.9% 11.3% 9.4% 4.4%
Giacomo Paoletti 19.8% 23.2% 15.5% 13.3% 10.2% 7.8% 5.3% 2.9% 1.7% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Sarah Wyman 4.6% 3.8% 4.9% 4.4% 6.5% 8.1% 8.7% 11.4% 12.1% 14.7% 12.5% 8.3%
Gabrielle Robertson 1.9% 1.6% 1.6% 2.1% 2.6% 4.4% 6.1% 5.9% 9.1% 14.7% 20.6% 29.4%
Bianca Barnes 1.1% 2.0% 3.4% 2.1% 2.4% 2.8% 4.5% 8.0% 9.3% 13.3% 19.0% 32.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.