← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of California at Santa Barbara2.04+2.81vs Predicted
-
2University of Hawaii2.03+1.89vs Predicted
-
3Stanford University2.80-0.42vs Predicted
-
4California Poly Maritime Academy1.89+0.70vs Predicted
-
5University of Southern California0.38+3.14vs Predicted
-
6University of California at Santa Cruz-0.99+6.01vs Predicted
-
7University of California at Los Angeles0.32+1.34vs Predicted
-
8Western Washington University0.36+0.46vs Predicted
-
9University of California at San Diego0.68-1.29vs Predicted
-
10University of California at Davis-0.19-0.11vs Predicted
-
11San Diego State University-0.27-0.92vs Predicted
-
12Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.51-4.02vs Predicted
-
13University of California at Berkeley-0.08-3.36vs Predicted
-
14Arizona State University-0.39-3.41vs Predicted
-
15California State University Channel Islands-1.06-2.83vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.81University of California at Santa Barbara2.0417.0%1st Place
-
3.89University of Hawaii2.0314.9%1st Place
-
2.58Stanford University2.8034.0%1st Place
-
4.7California Poly Maritime Academy1.8911.6%1st Place
-
8.14University of Southern California0.382.5%1st Place
-
12.01University of California at Santa Cruz-0.990.8%1st Place
-
8.34University of California at Los Angeles0.323.2%1st Place
-
8.46Western Washington University0.362.3%1st Place
-
7.71University of California at San Diego0.683.4%1st Place
-
9.89University of California at Davis-0.192.2%1st Place
-
10.08San Diego State University-0.271.1%1st Place
-
7.98Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.512.9%1st Place
-
9.64University of California at Berkeley-0.081.9%1st Place
-
10.59Arizona State University-0.390.9%1st Place
-
12.17California State University Channel Islands-1.061.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Kayda | 17.0% | 16.6% | 17.2% | 15.4% | 12.2% | 8.4% | 5.8% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Patton | 14.9% | 17.8% | 16.2% | 15.2% | 12.6% | 10.1% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Telis Athanasopoulos Yogo | 34.0% | 22.9% | 17.8% | 12.6% | 6.5% | 3.8% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Fisker-Andersen | 11.6% | 11.8% | 13.1% | 14.9% | 13.0% | 11.8% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Edward Ansart | 2.5% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 10.5% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 1.6% |
| Grant Gravallese | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 10.4% | 18.5% | 30.0% |
| Ian Marshall | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 9.4% | 10.7% | 9.5% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 6.8% | 3.5% | 1.8% |
| Leopold Sabharwal | 2.3% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 10.2% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 10.8% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 4.5% | 1.8% |
| Noah Barton | 3.4% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 9.4% | 10.5% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 0.9% |
| Nathaniel Holden | 2.2% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 10.4% | 10.2% | 11.3% | 11.2% | 10.7% | 6.2% |
| Casey Gignac | 1.1% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 10.2% | 10.3% | 12.9% | 11.7% | 7.4% |
| Max Case | 2.9% | 3.5% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 11.2% | 9.7% | 11.1% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 3.6% | 1.2% |
| Luc LaMontagne | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 10.7% | 8.3% | 10.3% | 11.1% | 10.4% | 9.4% | 5.3% |
| Sadie Hoberman | 0.9% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 10.1% | 11.9% | 12.4% | 13.2% | 11.5% |
| Kaylena Mann | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 9.7% | 11.6% | 16.9% | 32.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.