Race 1A

south-series-7

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

28.6%
Within 2 Positions
4.9
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
William Cotta 6.8% 9.7% 12.0% 9.7% 11.0% 10.1% 9.9% 7.9% 8.3% 5.9% 5.1% 1.9% 1.3% 0.4%
Nathan Stevens 3.3% 4.0% 4.4% 5.2% 6.3% 5.6% 7.9% 8.3% 9.3% 13.3% 12.3% 11.1% 6.4% 2.6%
Matthew Shapiro 16.6% 16.2% 12.6% 11.7% 12.3% 10.9% 7.1% 4.7% 4.2% 2.3% 0.8% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0%
Thomas Chronert 3.4% 4.9% 4.7% 6.8% 5.8% 6.8% 9.4% 10.6% 10.6% 10.9% 10.8% 8.6% 4.8% 1.9%
Tom McKenzie 1.0% 0.7% 1.6% 1.6% 2.6% 2.4% 2.5% 3.4% 6.6% 7.8% 9.0% 13.4% 21.7% 25.7%
Andrew Tamblyn 14.3% 14.4% 13.7% 13.4% 10.8% 9.6% 8.4% 4.8% 5.1% 3.3% 1.4% 0.8% 0.0% 0.0%
Zachary Foreman 1.0% 1.0% 1.2% 1.1% 1.9% 3.2% 2.0% 3.5% 4.5% 6.6% 7.9% 13.2% 20.8% 32.1%
Christopher Simeone 7.2% 8.4% 7.9% 6.5% 8.6% 10.1% 8.8% 11.0% 9.4% 9.2% 6.6% 3.8% 2.0% 0.5%
Owen Richardson 7.6% 6.3% 7.0% 9.5% 8.5% 10.6% 9.9% 13.1% 8.9% 7.2% 6.1% 3.9% 1.1% 0.3%
Santiago Enrique 1.7% 0.8% 1.5% 1.9% 1.7% 1.8% 3.6% 4.0% 5.1% 8.5% 11.6% 15.7% 20.4% 21.7%
Robert Keller 4.9% 4.6% 6.3% 6.5% 7.1% 9.0% 8.9% 9.4% 10.6% 11.1% 10.1% 6.9% 3.5% 1.1%
Peter Giuliano 7.9% 9.1% 8.9% 11.9% 9.7% 9.6% 10.9% 10.2% 8.6% 5.1% 4.6% 1.8% 1.4% 0.3%
Matthew Charpentier 1.9% 1.4% 2.1% 2.2% 3.4% 2.4% 4.8% 5.3% 7.1% 8.1% 13.2% 18.1% 16.6% 13.4%
Natalie Salk 22.4% 18.5% 16.1% 12.0% 10.3% 7.9% 5.9% 3.8% 1.7% 0.7% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.