Race 5B

peter-wenner-invitational

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

41.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Reid Cannon 9.8% 10.2% 11.1% 11.7% 12.3% 11.9% 12.2% 7.2% 6.8% 4.2% 1.8% 0.8%
Patrick Manuel 3.9% 4.1% 6.5% 7.1% 7.4% 10.6% 8.8% 13.5% 12.4% 12.7% 8.4% 4.6%
John Olson 10.9% 10.0% 11.2% 9.7% 12.5% 12.3% 10.7% 10.3% 5.8% 4.0% 2.0% 0.6%
John Coakley 22.7% 21.3% 18.0% 12.7% 10.0% 6.6% 3.7% 2.9% 1.8% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
Sarah Wyman 3.0% 3.7% 4.5% 5.3% 6.3% 7.7% 10.5% 9.3% 13.6% 14.6% 11.8% 9.7%
Colton Saunders 6.8% 8.5% 7.4% 9.4% 9.2% 12.0% 11.9% 11.8% 9.6% 7.1% 5.1% 1.2%
Giacomo Paoletti 22.2% 19.5% 14.3% 12.5% 12.8% 7.6% 4.5% 3.5% 1.9% 0.9% 0.1% 0.2%
Hollis Barth 4.7% 6.0% 5.8% 7.9% 7.7% 8.2% 9.9% 12.2% 11.2% 12.8% 9.3% 4.3%
Cecilia Jansson 10.0% 10.0% 13.6% 14.9% 11.8% 10.9% 10.3% 8.3% 5.2% 3.8% 1.0% 0.2%
Emma Dayton 3.2% 3.0% 3.4% 3.0% 4.5% 5.3% 8.0% 8.8% 11.3% 15.4% 17.6% 16.5%
Bianca Barnes 1.5% 1.7% 1.8% 2.8% 2.5% 4.2% 5.2% 5.4% 9.9% 11.4% 23.1% 30.5%
Gabrielle Robertson 1.3% 2.0% 2.4% 3.0% 3.0% 2.7% 4.3% 6.8% 10.5% 12.9% 19.7% 31.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.