Race 6B

peter-wenner-invitational

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

25.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Reid Cannon 10.7% 9.5% 11.7% 12.0% 12.2% 10.7% 11.0% 10.0% 5.7% 4.5% 1.6% 0.4%
Colton Saunders 5.5% 8.9% 8.8% 10.5% 9.5% 9.6% 11.3% 11.5% 10.2% 7.7% 5.2% 1.3%
John Olson 11.0% 9.9% 9.9% 12.0% 11.4% 10.3% 13.1% 10.3% 6.9% 3.3% 1.3% 0.6%
Patrick Manuel 3.6% 4.4% 6.4% 7.2% 8.6% 9.1% 8.4% 12.5% 12.9% 11.4% 10.2% 5.3%
Emma Dayton 1.8% 3.6% 3.0% 4.1% 4.5% 6.2% 6.8% 9.0% 10.7% 13.4% 19.4% 17.5%
Cecilia Jansson 10.8% 11.0% 10.9% 11.2% 12.6% 12.3% 11.0% 7.6% 6.3% 4.0% 1.8% 0.5%
Sarah Wyman 4.5% 3.5% 5.5% 5.6% 6.2% 8.5% 9.2% 8.6% 13.2% 14.5% 12.2% 8.5%
Giacomo Paoletti 22.4% 17.6% 15.9% 12.9% 9.9% 8.6% 5.9% 4.3% 0.8% 1.5% 0.1% 0.1%
Hollis Barth 3.9% 4.9% 6.7% 8.0% 9.8% 9.5% 10.6% 10.6% 12.6% 11.6% 7.4% 4.4%
John Coakley 22.8% 23.0% 16.4% 11.9% 10.1% 7.7% 3.1% 2.8% 1.5% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
Bianca Barnes 1.7% 1.6% 1.7% 2.3% 2.6% 4.5% 4.5% 6.6% 8.8% 13.9% 21.6% 30.2%
Gabrielle Robertson 1.3% 2.1% 3.1% 2.3% 2.6% 3.0% 5.1% 6.2% 10.4% 13.6% 19.1% 31.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.