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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Hawaii0.74+6.36vs Predicted
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2University of California at San Diego1.60+3.12vs Predicted
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3University of Southern California0.85+4.03vs Predicted
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4University of Hawaii1.65+1.00vs Predicted
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5University of Hawaii2.32-1.49vs Predicted
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6University of Victoria1.65-1.03vs Predicted
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7University of California at Los Angeles0.58+0.57vs Predicted
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8University of Victoria0.20+0.46vs Predicted
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9University of Hawaii0.83-2.09vs Predicted
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10University of California at Los Angeles-0.17-0.68vs Predicted
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11University of Southern California2.47-7.75vs Predicted
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12California State University Channel Islands-0.19-2.49vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.36University of Hawaii0.740.0%1st Place
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5.12University of California at San Diego1.600.1%1st Place
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7.03University of Southern California0.850.1%1st Place
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5.0University of Hawaii1.650.1%1st Place
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3.51University of Hawaii2.320.2%1st Place
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4.97University of Victoria1.650.1%1st Place
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7.57University of California at Los Angeles0.580.0%1st Place
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8.46University of Victoria0.200.0%1st Place
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6.91University of Hawaii0.830.0%1st Place
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9.32University of California at Los Angeles-0.170.0%1st Place
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3.25University of Southern California2.470.2%1st Place
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9.51California State University Channel Islands-0.190.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Naish Harlan | 3.9% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 10.5% | 11.1% | 12.6% | 12.4% | 10.6% | 6.4% |
| John Olson | 9.2% | 10.5% | 12.0% | 12.4% | 12.6% | 12.1% | 10.2% | 8.4% | 6.4% | 4.2% | 1.7% | 0.3% |
| Hollis Barth | 6.5% | 3.4% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 10.8% | 12.1% | 13.0% | 11.4% | 9.7% | 3.9% |
| Cecilia Jansson | 9.3% | 11.5% | 12.6% | 13.2% | 12.7% | 11.1% | 9.6% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 3.8% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Giacomo Paoletti | 21.7% | 21.1% | 14.5% | 11.7% | 11.0% | 8.3% | 5.4% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Reid Cannon | 10.7% | 11.1% | 12.1% | 11.4% | 12.7% | 13.4% | 10.2% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 0.3% |
| Sarah Wyman | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 9.6% | 10.1% | 10.8% | 15.2% | 11.7% | 7.9% |
| Emma Dayton | 2.5% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 14.7% | 18.9% | 15.4% |
| Patrick Manuel | 4.1% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 10.0% | 9.3% | 10.9% | 13.1% | 13.4% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 3.8% |
| Gabrielle Robertson | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 13.3% | 19.0% | 28.5% |
| John Coakley | 24.7% | 19.3% | 16.2% | 15.0% | 10.0% | 6.8% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bianca Barnes | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 11.8% | 17.0% | 33.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.