Race 8B

peter-wenner-invitational

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Cecilia Jansson 10.2% 9.9% 11.8% 13.4% 12.2% 12.3% 9.7% 8.2% 6.7% 2.8% 2.2% 0.6%
John Olson 8.9% 12.6% 11.6% 10.1% 12.9% 11.4% 10.5% 8.6% 6.3% 4.7% 2.1% 0.3%
Reid Cannon 11.5% 10.1% 11.5% 13.3% 11.3% 12.0% 12.1% 8.0% 5.3% 3.1% 1.4% 0.4%
Hollis Barth 4.2% 4.2% 6.6% 8.7% 7.6% 9.1% 9.8% 12.4% 13.0% 10.5% 9.7% 4.2%
Naish Harlan 3.2% 6.2% 5.5% 6.5% 8.2% 8.3% 10.7% 11.0% 13.1% 11.3% 9.6% 6.4%
Giacomo Paoletti 21.4% 20.2% 16.7% 13.9% 10.5% 7.5% 4.9% 2.7% 1.2% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1%
Bianca Barnes 2.2% 1.9% 2.3% 2.8% 3.3% 4.2% 6.7% 7.3% 8.0% 13.3% 17.5% 30.5%
Patrick Manuel 6.0% 6.0% 5.2% 7.6% 8.7% 8.4% 10.2% 11.5% 12.1% 11.2% 8.4% 4.7%
Sarah Wyman 3.3% 3.4% 4.9% 5.5% 8.1% 10.1% 9.1% 11.0% 12.0% 14.6% 11.3% 6.7%
Gabrielle Robertson 2.0% 2.6% 2.3% 2.7% 3.3% 3.9% 5.6% 6.7% 8.6% 12.7% 19.6% 30.0%
John Coakley 24.4% 19.9% 17.9% 12.5% 9.8% 6.6% 4.0% 3.1% 1.3% 0.4% 0.0% 0.1%
Emma Dayton 2.7% 3.0% 3.7% 3.0% 4.1% 6.2% 6.7% 9.5% 12.4% 14.7% 18.0% 16.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.