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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Victoria1.65+3.94vs Predicted
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2University of Hawaii2.32+1.39vs Predicted
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3University of Southern California0.42+4.95vs Predicted
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4University of Hawaii0.83+2.95vs Predicted
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5California State University Channel Islands-0.19+4.35vs Predicted
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6University of Hawaii1.65-1.12vs Predicted
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7University of Southern California2.47-3.89vs Predicted
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8University of California at San Diego1.60-3.05vs Predicted
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9University of California at Los Angeles0.58-1.52vs Predicted
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10University of Victoria0.20-1.56vs Predicted
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11University of California at Los Angeles-0.17-1.60vs Predicted
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12University of Hawaii0.74-4.84vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.94University of Victoria1.650.1%1st Place
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3.39University of Hawaii2.320.2%1st Place
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7.95University of Southern California0.420.0%1st Place
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6.95University of Hawaii0.830.0%1st Place
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9.35California State University Channel Islands-0.190.0%1st Place
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4.88University of Hawaii1.650.1%1st Place
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3.11University of Southern California2.470.2%1st Place
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4.95University of California at San Diego1.600.1%1st Place
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7.48University of California at Los Angeles0.580.0%1st Place
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8.44University of Victoria0.200.0%1st Place
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9.4University of California at Los Angeles-0.170.0%1st Place
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7.16University of Hawaii0.740.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reid Cannon | 10.5% | 11.1% | 12.0% | 13.3% | 12.4% | 11.7% | 10.5% | 8.1% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| Giacomo Paoletti | 21.7% | 19.5% | 17.4% | 14.1% | 10.3% | 8.1% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brandon Yuen | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 10.0% | 13.4% | 15.1% | 14.4% | 9.6% |
| Patrick Manuel | 3.6% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 10.5% | 12.4% | 11.9% | 11.1% | 9.9% | 8.1% | 4.4% |
| Bianca Barnes | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 12.8% | 17.9% | 30.1% |
| Cecilia Jansson | 10.5% | 12.1% | 11.8% | 11.3% | 13.9% | 12.4% | 11.0% | 7.6% | 5.4% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| John Coakley | 24.5% | 21.6% | 18.7% | 12.3% | 10.6% | 5.8% | 3.7% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| John Olson | 11.9% | 11.9% | 11.9% | 11.8% | 11.4% | 10.2% | 10.6% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.9% |
| Sarah Wyman | 2.9% | 3.4% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 11.8% | 12.1% | 12.7% | 11.2% | 11.3% | 6.2% |
| Emma Dayton | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 10.5% | 13.5% | 12.7% | 16.8% | 15.0% |
| Gabrielle Robertson | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 7.8% | 9.7% | 15.5% | 17.3% | 28.6% |
| Naish Harlan | 5.1% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 13.0% | 11.7% | 13.0% | 9.4% | 4.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.