Race 10B

peter-wenner-invitational

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

58.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
John Coakley 23.9% 21.2% 17.9% 14.1% 9.2% 6.6% 3.8% 2.1% 0.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
Giacomo Paoletti 21.6% 19.7% 16.2% 14.4% 11.7% 6.8% 4.5% 3.1% 1.6% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
Cecilia Jansson 11.8% 9.7% 13.6% 11.3% 11.9% 12.3% 11.2% 9.2% 4.7% 2.9% 0.9% 0.5%
Reid Cannon 9.4% 13.3% 11.7% 14.3% 13.7% 9.3% 9.3% 8.3% 6.5% 3.0% 0.9% 0.3%
Brandon Yuen 2.4% 4.4% 4.7% 5.1% 5.7% 8.1% 8.7% 9.9% 12.5% 12.3% 14.9% 11.3%
John Olson 11.3% 10.1% 11.2% 12.1% 11.9% 13.2% 10.8% 8.0% 6.0% 3.6% 1.4% 0.4%
Bianca Barnes 1.9% 2.3% 2.9% 2.7% 3.0% 5.0% 6.6% 7.3% 9.2% 12.5% 18.9% 27.7%
Sarah Wyman 4.5% 4.2% 4.9% 6.4% 7.2% 7.7% 9.2% 11.4% 12.4% 13.1% 12.2% 6.8%
Naish Harlan 4.3% 4.6% 5.7% 6.5% 9.0% 10.7% 11.2% 11.8% 12.7% 10.6% 8.6% 4.3%
Gabrielle Robertson 1.7% 2.1% 3.2% 2.3% 4.5% 4.3% 5.8% 7.2% 8.6% 15.1% 18.3% 26.9%
Patrick Manuel 4.7% 4.4% 5.3% 7.7% 8.1% 9.7% 11.1% 11.6% 13.0% 10.9% 8.3% 5.2%
Emma Dayton 2.5% 4.0% 2.7% 3.1% 4.1% 6.3% 7.8% 10.1% 12.1% 15.2% 15.5% 16.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.