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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Hawaii2.32+2.20vs Predicted
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2University of Southern California0.42+5.50vs Predicted
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3California State University Channel Islands-0.19+5.91vs Predicted
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4University of Victoria1.65+0.52vs Predicted
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5University of Hawaii0.74+1.69vs Predicted
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6University of California at San Diego-0.46+3.48vs Predicted
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7University of Hawaii0.83-0.59vs Predicted
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8University of California at Los Angeles0.58-0.99vs Predicted
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9University of Southern California2.47-6.18vs Predicted
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10University of California at Los Angeles-0.17-1.22vs Predicted
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11University of Victoria0.20-2.90vs Predicted
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12University of Hawaii1.65-7.42vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.2University of Hawaii2.320.2%1st Place
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7.5University of Southern California0.420.0%1st Place
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8.91California State University Channel Islands-0.190.0%1st Place
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4.52University of Victoria1.650.1%1st Place
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6.69University of Hawaii0.740.0%1st Place
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9.48University of California at San Diego-0.460.0%1st Place
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6.41University of Hawaii0.830.1%1st Place
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7.01University of California at Los Angeles0.580.0%1st Place
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2.82University of Southern California2.470.3%1st Place
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8.78University of California at Los Angeles-0.170.0%1st Place
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8.1University of Victoria0.200.0%1st Place
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4.58University of Hawaii1.650.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Giacomo Paoletti | 23.4% | 18.7% | 20.3% | 13.5% | 10.8% | 6.9% | 3.7% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brandon Yuen | 2.7% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 9.9% | 11.4% | 10.6% | 13.5% | 12.8% | 11.4% | 5.4% |
| Bianca Barnes | 2.4% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 10.5% | 10.2% | 14.6% | 17.5% | 21.4% |
| Reid Cannon | 9.7% | 14.6% | 13.8% | 14.3% | 15.3% | 11.4% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Naish Harlan | 4.3% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 11.5% | 11.1% | 12.0% | 12.5% | 9.4% | 5.4% | 3.8% |
| Jiachao Yang | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 7.3% | 9.3% | 12.6% | 18.6% | 30.9% |
| Patrick Manuel | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 9.8% | 10.7% | 10.3% | 12.8% | 12.1% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 5.5% | 3.0% |
| Sarah Wyman | 4.1% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 12.9% | 10.9% | 13.2% | 10.4% | 7.7% | 5.2% |
| John Coakley | 29.0% | 24.7% | 15.5% | 13.3% | 7.8% | 5.3% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gabrielle Robertson | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 11.8% | 12.4% | 18.8% | 19.5% |
| Emma Dayton | 3.1% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 11.1% | 12.1% | 15.8% | 13.4% | 10.6% |
| Cecilia Jansson | 11.1% | 12.1% | 14.2% | 15.1% | 11.7% | 11.9% | 11.0% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.