Race 12B

peter-wenner-invitational

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Giacomo Paoletti 22.1% 20.2% 19.3% 14.4% 11.3% 5.9% 3.6% 2.2% 0.8% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Reid Cannon 11.5% 12.9% 13.1% 15.0% 14.5% 11.1% 8.9% 6.4% 4.2% 1.4% 1.0% 0.0%
Brandon Yuen 4.5% 3.2% 5.1% 6.3% 7.5% 8.5% 9.5% 12.0% 12.3% 12.8% 11.7% 6.6%
Bianca Barnes 0.9% 2.5% 3.1% 2.6% 4.9% 5.6% 7.9% 7.9% 12.3% 12.5% 17.6% 22.2%
Emma Dayton 2.8% 3.1% 4.2% 4.6% 6.9% 8.3% 8.2% 10.6% 13.0% 13.9% 11.6% 12.8%
Patrick Manuel 5.5% 6.5% 7.9% 7.8% 8.2% 11.7% 13.2% 11.9% 10.9% 9.0% 4.6% 2.8%
Sarah Wyman 4.5% 5.0% 6.5% 6.9% 8.1% 11.4% 10.4% 11.7% 10.9% 11.5% 8.0% 5.1%
Cecilia Jansson 13.7% 14.5% 11.8% 13.7% 11.5% 11.8% 11.1% 5.2% 3.4% 2.1% 0.8% 0.4%
Jiachao Yang 1.4% 1.8% 1.7% 2.5% 3.3% 4.7% 5.1% 9.4% 10.6% 12.0% 19.7% 27.8%
Gabrielle Robertson 2.1% 2.2% 3.1% 3.8% 4.3% 5.8% 6.8% 9.5% 9.9% 15.7% 17.7% 19.1%
John Coakley 26.1% 22.4% 18.8% 13.9% 9.0% 4.6% 3.4% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
Naish Harlan 4.9% 5.7% 5.4% 8.5% 10.5% 10.6% 11.9% 12.0% 11.4% 8.9% 7.0% 3.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.