Race 13B

peter-wenner-invitational

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Cecilia Jansson 10.6% 12.4% 12.2% 15.7% 15.5% 10.9% 9.5% 6.7% 3.5% 1.9% 0.9% 0.2%
Reid Cannon 11.1% 14.0% 12.2% 15.6% 11.7% 13.5% 9.7% 5.9% 4.5% 1.3% 0.5% 0.0%
Emma Dayton 3.8% 2.9% 3.8% 4.1% 6.2% 6.9% 9.2% 12.9% 11.0% 13.5% 14.6% 11.1%
John Coakley 27.6% 24.2% 18.1% 12.8% 8.2% 4.4% 2.8% 1.1% 0.6% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Brandon Yuen 3.3% 3.4% 5.6% 5.8% 8.0% 10.2% 9.8% 10.3% 13.9% 11.3% 11.1% 7.3%
Giacomo Paoletti 24.1% 21.5% 18.0% 13.2% 10.4% 6.4% 3.5% 1.7% 1.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Gabrielle Robertson 2.5% 2.2% 2.4% 4.0% 3.9% 7.8% 7.3% 8.3% 10.3% 14.4% 18.0% 18.9%
Naish Harlan 5.5% 6.0% 7.8% 6.6% 9.2% 12.4% 10.3% 13.4% 10.9% 9.3% 5.1% 3.5%
Patrick Manuel 4.2% 5.8% 9.0% 9.1% 11.0% 11.8% 11.8% 11.1% 11.1% 8.8% 4.7% 1.6%
Bianca Barnes 2.1% 2.6% 2.7% 3.8% 3.7% 4.8% 7.9% 9.6% 10.5% 14.2% 17.8% 20.3%
Sarah Wyman 4.0% 2.9% 5.8% 7.0% 9.8% 7.2% 12.4% 12.6% 12.6% 12.6% 7.3% 5.8%
Jiachao Yang 1.2% 2.1% 2.4% 2.3% 2.4% 3.7% 5.8% 6.4% 10.1% 12.5% 19.8% 31.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.