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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
24
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Southern California2.64+3.37vs Predicted
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2University of California at San Diego1.81+5.10vs Predicted
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3California State University Channel Islands0.37+10.19vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Barbara1.31+5.03vs Predicted
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5University of California at Irvine1.71+2.56vs Predicted
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6University of California at Los Angeles0.82+5.45vs Predicted
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7Arizona State University1.51+1.11vs Predicted
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8Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.39+0.57vs Predicted
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9University of California at San Diego1.60-1.18vs Predicted
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10University of California at Santa Barbara2.49-5.22vs Predicted
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11University of Southern California1.52-2.96vs Predicted
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12California State University Channel Islands0.37+1.19vs Predicted
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13University of California at Santa Barbara0.40+0.07vs Predicted
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14California State University Channel Islands0.37-0.81vs Predicted
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15University of California at Los Angeles-0.23+0.61vs Predicted
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16University of California at San Diego0.93-5.33vs Predicted
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17University of California at Irvine0.90-6.35vs Predicted
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18University of California at San Diego-0.46-1.73vs Predicted
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19University of California at Irvine0.08-4.73vs Predicted
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20University of Southern California0.62-7.73vs Predicted
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21University of California at Los Angeles-0.36-4.93vs Predicted
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22University of California at San Diego-1.18-3.63vs Predicted
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23University of California at San Diego-1.18-4.63vs Predicted
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24Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.16-10.28vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.37University of Southern California2.640.2%1st Place
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7.1University of California at San Diego1.810.1%1st Place
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13.19California State University Channel Islands0.370.0%1st Place
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9.03University of California at Santa Barbara1.310.0%1st Place
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7.56University of California at Irvine1.710.1%1st Place
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11.45University of California at Los Angeles0.820.0%1st Place
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8.11Arizona State University1.510.1%1st Place
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8.57Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.390.1%1st Place
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7.82University of California at San Diego1.600.1%1st Place
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4.78University of California at Santa Barbara2.490.2%1st Place
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8.04University of Southern California1.520.1%1st Place
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13.19California State University Channel Islands0.370.0%1st Place
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13.07University of California at Santa Barbara0.400.0%1st Place
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13.19California State University Channel Islands0.370.0%1st Place
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15.61University of California at Los Angeles-0.230.0%1st Place
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10.67University of California at San Diego0.930.0%1st Place
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10.65University of California at Irvine0.900.0%1st Place
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16.27University of California at San Diego-0.460.0%1st Place
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14.27University of California at Irvine0.080.0%1st Place
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12.27University of Southern California0.620.0%1st Place
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16.07University of California at Los Angeles-0.360.0%1st Place
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18.37University of California at San Diego-1.180.0%1st Place
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18.37University of California at San Diego-1.180.0%1st Place
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13.72Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.160.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cameron Hutcheson | 18.2% | 15.6% | 13.4% | 11.9% | 10.4% | 10.1% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicolas Delfino | 8.2% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 9.1% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jeffrey Tedmori | 1.5% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 2.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gregory Coumes | 3.6% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Heller | 7.2% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Erica Parker | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Spenser Branch | 6.2% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| David Cornella | 6.1% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Olson | 5.0% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cobi Allen | 16.4% | 14.1% | 11.4% | 11.5% | 9.3% | 10.5% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kendall Sanson | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jeffrey Tedmori | 1.5% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 2.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lucas Ryder | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 9.3% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 2.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jeffrey Tedmori | 1.5% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 2.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Beutter | 1.6% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 9.4% | 12.7% | 15.1% | 10.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Calum Finlayson | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kate Andersen | 2.7% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 6.7% | 4.1% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jiachao Yang | 1.2% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 10.1% | 13.4% | 17.0% | 15.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| James Heller | 2.3% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 12.0% | 8.1% | 5.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Evan Kort | 2.6% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 7.5% | 4.8% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 1.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Robert Loughnan | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 10.0% | 12.4% | 15.6% | 13.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| David Luu | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 14.8% | 44.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| David Luu | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 14.8% | 44.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Peter Carle | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 10.6% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 3.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.