Race 2A

south-series-7

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

28.6%
Within 2 Positions
4.9
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Christopher Simeone 5.3% 7.5% 8.9% 10.3% 7.9% 10.1% 10.0% 9.0% 10.6% 7.8% 6.2% 4.2% 2.0% 0.2%
Andrew Tamblyn 15.6% 16.0% 13.2% 12.7% 12.2% 9.7% 7.6% 5.7% 2.9% 2.4% 1.5% 0.3% 0.2% 0.0%
Thomas Chronert 4.8% 4.3% 5.8% 6.3% 5.6% 7.2% 8.0% 9.3% 10.3% 12.3% 11.4% 9.6% 3.7% 1.4%
William Cotta 8.0% 8.7% 9.5% 9.3% 10.6% 11.2% 10.2% 8.7% 9.8% 5.9% 5.3% 1.9% 0.6% 0.3%
Owen Richardson 5.8% 7.3% 8.5% 9.2% 9.7% 9.2% 11.4% 10.2% 9.5% 8.1% 5.3% 3.5% 1.6% 0.7%
Tom McKenzie 0.9% 1.2% 1.5% 1.4% 1.6% 2.0% 3.9% 3.9% 5.2% 6.3% 10.8% 16.3% 19.9% 25.1%
Nathan Stevens 3.6% 3.6% 4.9% 5.4% 4.9% 7.2% 6.3% 8.8% 11.2% 11.3% 13.2% 9.7% 6.8% 3.1%
Zachary Foreman 1.0% 1.3% 0.6% 1.7% 1.8% 2.7% 1.6% 4.4% 4.0% 5.3% 8.3% 12.1% 21.3% 33.9%
Peter Giuliano 8.3% 7.8% 9.0% 10.3% 10.2% 10.7% 10.3% 10.6% 7.7% 8.3% 3.3% 2.2% 1.1% 0.2%
Matthew Charpentier 2.0% 1.7% 1.4% 1.5% 2.6% 2.3% 5.1% 5.6% 5.9% 9.8% 12.9% 16.9% 20.1% 12.2%
Matthew Shapiro 15.3% 15.0% 14.2% 12.3% 11.0% 10.3% 7.5% 5.9% 4.2% 2.7% 1.0% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
Santiago Enrique 0.9% 1.1% 1.8% 1.3% 2.3% 2.4% 3.4% 3.4% 5.3% 9.4% 11.4% 15.7% 20.0% 21.6%
Robert Keller 5.0% 6.5% 5.4% 6.4% 8.4% 7.3% 9.0% 11.1% 11.3% 9.4% 9.2% 7.1% 2.6% 1.3%
Natalie Salk 23.5% 18.0% 15.3% 11.9% 11.2% 7.7% 5.7% 3.4% 2.1% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.