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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
24
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Southern California2.64+3.37vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Barbara2.49+2.75vs Predicted
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3University of California at San Diego1.81+4.05vs Predicted
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4University of California at Irvine1.71+3.36vs Predicted
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5University of California at San Diego1.60+3.04vs Predicted
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6California State University Channel Islands0.37+7.34vs Predicted
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7University of Southern California0.62+4.93vs Predicted
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8Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.39+0.56vs Predicted
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9California State University Channel Islands0.37+4.34vs Predicted
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10University of Southern California1.52-1.88vs Predicted
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11University of California at San Diego0.93-0.21vs Predicted
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12University of California at Santa Barbara1.31-2.98vs Predicted
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13Arizona State University1.51-4.62vs Predicted
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14California State University Channel Islands0.37-0.66vs Predicted
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15University of California at Irvine0.90-4.07vs Predicted
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16University of California at San Diego-1.18+2.38vs Predicted
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17Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.16-3.24vs Predicted
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18University of California at Santa Barbara0.40-5.00vs Predicted
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19University of California at Irvine0.08-4.75vs Predicted
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20University of California at San Diego-0.46-3.39vs Predicted
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21University of California at San Diego-1.18-2.62vs Predicted
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22University of California at Los Angeles-0.23-6.48vs Predicted
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23University of California at Los Angeles-0.36-7.03vs Predicted
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24University of California at Los Angeles0.82-13.11vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.37University of Southern California2.640.2%1st Place
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4.75University of California at Santa Barbara2.490.2%1st Place
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7.05University of California at San Diego1.810.1%1st Place
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7.36University of California at Irvine1.710.1%1st Place
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8.04University of California at San Diego1.600.1%1st Place
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13.34California State University Channel Islands0.370.0%1st Place
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11.93University of Southern California0.620.0%1st Place
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8.56Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.390.1%1st Place
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13.34California State University Channel Islands0.370.0%1st Place
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8.12University of Southern California1.520.0%1st Place
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10.79University of California at San Diego0.930.0%1st Place
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9.02University of California at Santa Barbara1.310.0%1st Place
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8.38Arizona State University1.510.1%1st Place
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13.34California State University Channel Islands0.370.0%1st Place
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10.93University of California at Irvine0.900.0%1st Place
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18.38University of California at San Diego-1.180.0%1st Place
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13.76Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.160.0%1st Place
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13.0University of California at Santa Barbara0.400.0%1st Place
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14.25University of California at Irvine0.080.0%1st Place
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16.61University of California at San Diego-0.460.0%1st Place
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18.38University of California at San Diego-1.180.0%1st Place
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15.52University of California at Los Angeles-0.230.0%1st Place
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15.97University of California at Los Angeles-0.360.0%1st Place
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10.89University of California at Los Angeles0.820.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cameron Hutcheson | 19.1% | 15.6% | 13.9% | 10.9% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cobi Allen | 17.1% | 13.5% | 11.9% | 12.4% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicolas Delfino | 6.3% | 7.4% | 9.6% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Heller | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Olson | 6.6% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jeffrey Tedmori | 1.4% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 4.4% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 10.9% | 8.2% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Evan Kort | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 5.7% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 3.5% | 1.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| David Cornella | 6.2% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jeffrey Tedmori | 1.4% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 4.4% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 10.9% | 8.2% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kendall Sanson | 4.7% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Calum Finlayson | 3.5% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gregory Coumes | 4.8% | 7.0% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Spenser Branch | 5.6% | 4.5% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jeffrey Tedmori | 1.4% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 4.4% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 10.9% | 8.2% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kate Andersen | 3.3% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| David Luu | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 6.4% | 8.9% | 17.8% | 42.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Peter Carle | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 3.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lucas Ryder | 2.3% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 9.9% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 2.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| James Heller | 2.3% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 4.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jiachao Yang | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 9.4% | 13.5% | 17.4% | 17.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| David Luu | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 6.4% | 8.9% | 17.8% | 42.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Beutter | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 9.1% | 11.2% | 11.4% | 12.2% | 10.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Robert Loughnan | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 8.6% | 11.2% | 12.6% | 16.0% | 11.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Erica Parker | 3.3% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.