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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
24
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Southern California2.64+3.38vs Predicted
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2University of California at San Diego1.81+5.07vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Barbara2.49+1.65vs Predicted
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4California State University Channel Islands0.37+9.22vs Predicted
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5University of Southern California0.62+7.10vs Predicted
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6University of California at Los Angeles0.82+5.42vs Predicted
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7Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.39+1.57vs Predicted
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8University of California at Irvine1.71-0.78vs Predicted
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9University of California at San Diego1.60-1.22vs Predicted
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10University of California at Irvine0.90+0.85vs Predicted
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11University of Southern California1.52-2.88vs Predicted
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12California State University Channel Islands0.37+1.22vs Predicted
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13University of California at Santa Barbara1.31-3.81vs Predicted
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14Arizona State University1.51-5.67vs Predicted
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15California State University Channel Islands0.37-1.78vs Predicted
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16University of California at Santa Barbara0.40-2.97vs Predicted
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17University of California at Los Angeles-0.36-1.29vs Predicted
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18University of California at San Diego0.93-7.33vs Predicted
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19Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.16-5.06vs Predicted
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20University of California at Irvine0.08-5.38vs Predicted
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21University of California at San Diego-1.18-2.53vs Predicted
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22University of California at San Diego-0.46-5.69vs Predicted
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23University of California at Los Angeles-0.23-7.65vs Predicted
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24University of California at San Diego-1.18-5.53vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.38University of Southern California2.640.2%1st Place
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7.07University of California at San Diego1.810.1%1st Place
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4.65University of California at Santa Barbara2.490.1%1st Place
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13.22California State University Channel Islands0.370.0%1st Place
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12.1University of Southern California0.620.0%1st Place
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11.42University of California at Los Angeles0.820.0%1st Place
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8.57Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.390.1%1st Place
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7.22University of California at Irvine1.710.1%1st Place
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7.78University of California at San Diego1.600.1%1st Place
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10.85University of California at Irvine0.900.0%1st Place
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8.12University of Southern California1.520.1%1st Place
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13.22California State University Channel Islands0.370.0%1st Place
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9.19University of California at Santa Barbara1.310.0%1st Place
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8.33Arizona State University1.510.1%1st Place
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13.22California State University Channel Islands0.370.0%1st Place
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13.03University of California at Santa Barbara0.400.0%1st Place
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15.71University of California at Los Angeles-0.360.0%1st Place
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10.67University of California at San Diego0.930.0%1st Place
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13.94Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.160.0%1st Place
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14.62University of California at Irvine0.080.0%1st Place
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18.47University of California at San Diego-1.180.0%1st Place
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16.31University of California at San Diego-0.460.0%1st Place
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15.35University of California at Los Angeles-0.230.0%1st Place
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18.47University of California at San Diego-1.180.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cameron Hutcheson | 18.4% | 15.7% | 12.8% | 12.2% | 11.1% | 8.3% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicolas Delfino | 8.3% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cobi Allen | 14.6% | 14.2% | 14.4% | 12.2% | 10.1% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jeffrey Tedmori | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 9.2% | 6.3% | 8.5% | 5.2% | 3.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Evan Kort | 2.5% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 1.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Erica Parker | 3.1% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| David Cornella | 5.9% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Heller | 7.9% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Olson | 5.1% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kate Andersen | 3.6% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kendall Sanson | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jeffrey Tedmori | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 9.2% | 6.3% | 8.5% | 5.2% | 3.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gregory Coumes | 3.8% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Spenser Branch | 6.1% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jeffrey Tedmori | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 9.2% | 6.3% | 8.5% | 5.2% | 3.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lucas Ryder | 2.3% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 9.9% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 1.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Robert Loughnan | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 9.2% | 12.8% | 17.5% | 10.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Calum Finlayson | 3.7% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 7.1% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Peter Carle | 2.0% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 10.1% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 4.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| James Heller | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 9.5% | 9.1% | 10.9% | 10.3% | 5.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| David Luu | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 9.8% | 15.6% | 45.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jiachao Yang | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 9.8% | 13.2% | 14.4% | 16.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Beutter | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 12.5% | 12.6% | 10.4% | 9.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| David Luu | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 9.8% | 15.6% | 45.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.