← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1North Carolina State University1.09+1.20vs Predicted
-
2North Carolina State University-0.21+2.79vs Predicted
-
3Clemson University1.22-0.54vs Predicted
-
4Duke University0.06+0.28vs Predicted
-
5Georgia Institute of Technology-0.04-0.54vs Predicted
-
6University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.61+0.76vs Predicted
-
7Catholic University of America-0.38-1.94vs Predicted
-
8University of Georgia-1.10-2.02vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.2North Carolina State University1.0937.9%1st Place
-
4.79North Carolina State University-0.215.4%1st Place
-
2.46Clemson University1.2229.6%1st Place
-
4.28Duke University0.068.7%1st Place
-
4.46Georgia Institute of Technology-0.047.6%1st Place
-
6.76University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.611.5%1st Place
-
5.06Catholic University of America-0.385.9%1st Place
-
5.98University of Georgia-1.103.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Isabella du Plessis | 37.9% | 27.8% | 18.9% | 10.0% | 3.9% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Samuel Marcom | 5.4% | 9.3% | 10.7% | 16.9% | 18.3% | 18.3% | 14.1% | 7.0% |
| William Turner | 29.6% | 28.4% | 20.7% | 12.7% | 5.6% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Ian Hoogenboom | 8.7% | 11.8% | 14.5% | 17.2% | 19.1% | 15.9% | 9.8% | 3.0% |
| Chandler Scott | 7.6% | 8.6% | 15.3% | 17.9% | 18.8% | 16.2% | 11.6% | 3.9% |
| Nevin Williams | 1.5% | 2.1% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 11.3% | 18.0% | 51.3% |
| Alex Walters | 5.9% | 7.5% | 9.8% | 12.7% | 16.6% | 19.7% | 19.0% | 8.9% |
| Amanda Heckler | 3.5% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 11.2% | 15.3% | 26.4% | 25.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.