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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1North Carolina State University1.26+1.57vs Predicted
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2North Carolina State University-0.21+2.77vs Predicted
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3Clemson University1.22-0.60vs Predicted
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4University of Georgia-1.10+2.12vs Predicted
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5Catholic University of America-0.38-0.04vs Predicted
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6Georgia Institute of Technology-0.04-1.66vs Predicted
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7Duke University0.06-2.87vs Predicted
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8University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.61-1.30vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.57North Carolina State University1.2628.8%1st Place
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4.77North Carolina State University-0.216.8%1st Place
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2.4Clemson University1.2233.7%1st Place
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6.12University of Georgia-1.102.9%1st Place
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4.96Catholic University of America-0.386.2%1st Place
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4.34Georgia Institute of Technology-0.049.7%1st Place
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4.13Duke University0.0610.0%1st Place
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6.7University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.611.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Olivia Sowa | 28.8% | 26.7% | 19.9% | 13.5% | 6.6% | 3.6% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Samuel Marcom | 6.8% | 9.3% | 11.6% | 13.5% | 18.3% | 18.7% | 15.8% | 6.0% |
| William Turner | 33.7% | 27.6% | 17.9% | 11.1% | 6.2% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Amanda Heckler | 2.9% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 8.0% | 10.8% | 15.3% | 27.2% | 27.5% |
| Alex Walters | 6.2% | 7.5% | 10.6% | 14.8% | 16.0% | 18.6% | 17.3% | 8.9% |
| Chandler Scott | 9.7% | 10.4% | 14.9% | 16.6% | 17.1% | 16.6% | 10.8% | 3.9% |
| Ian Hoogenboom | 10.0% | 12.2% | 17.0% | 16.9% | 17.9% | 14.1% | 9.1% | 2.8% |
| Nevin Williams | 1.9% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 10.5% | 17.9% | 50.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.