← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Duke University0.26+2.24vs Predicted
-
2North Carolina State University1.53-0.22vs Predicted
-
3North Carolina State University-0.10+0.69vs Predicted
-
4Clemson University-1.16+1.49vs Predicted
-
5Catholic University of America-0.40-0.61vs Predicted
-
6Georgia Institute of Technology-0.73-1.15vs Predicted
-
7North Carolina State University-1.44-1.07vs Predicted
-
8University of Georgia-1.97-1.37vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.24Duke University0.2615.0%1st Place
-
1.78North Carolina State University1.5351.6%1st Place
-
3.69North Carolina State University-0.1012.2%1st Place
-
5.49Clemson University-1.163.6%1st Place
-
4.39Catholic University of America-0.407.9%1st Place
-
4.85Georgia Institute of Technology-0.734.8%1st Place
-
5.93North Carolina State University-1.442.9%1st Place
-
6.63University of Georgia-1.972.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ian Connolly | 15.0% | 21.9% | 22.7% | 18.9% | 12.0% | 6.2% | 2.9% | 0.5% |
| Jacob Usher | 51.6% | 27.6% | 14.3% | 4.5% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Will Finch | 12.2% | 16.4% | 19.2% | 19.1% | 15.8% | 10.4% | 5.7% | 1.1% |
| Paige Berta | 3.6% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 11.2% | 13.2% | 19.7% | 22.4% | 15.3% |
| Clare Wagner | 7.9% | 10.8% | 14.8% | 16.2% | 19.9% | 15.6% | 10.8% | 4.0% |
| Tan Tonge | 4.8% | 8.1% | 12.1% | 17.1% | 17.8% | 17.8% | 15.8% | 6.6% |
| Jane Caroline Minchew | 2.9% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 8.3% | 11.2% | 17.5% | 23.0% | 25.8% |
| Katie Kellam | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 8.6% | 12.3% | 19.3% | 46.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.