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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Duke University0.26+2.20vs Predicted
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2North Carolina State University1.53-0.25vs Predicted
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3Clemson University-1.16+2.44vs Predicted
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4North Carolina State University-0.10-0.28vs Predicted
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5Catholic University of America-0.40-0.59vs Predicted
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6Georgia Institute of Technology-0.73-1.11vs Predicted
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7North Carolina State University-1.44-1.07vs Predicted
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8University of Georgia-1.97-1.33vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.2Duke University0.2615.7%1st Place
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1.75North Carolina State University1.5352.5%1st Place
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5.44Clemson University-1.163.8%1st Place
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3.72North Carolina State University-0.1011.5%1st Place
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4.41Catholic University of America-0.407.5%1st Place
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4.89Georgia Institute of Technology-0.735.0%1st Place
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5.93North Carolina State University-1.442.4%1st Place
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6.67University of Georgia-1.971.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ian Connolly | 15.7% | 21.8% | 23.8% | 17.2% | 12.3% | 6.4% | 2.3% | 0.5% |
| Jacob Usher | 52.5% | 28.6% | 12.4% | 4.8% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Paige Berta | 3.8% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 12.7% | 14.3% | 16.8% | 22.8% | 14.9% |
| Will Finch | 11.5% | 16.9% | 19.2% | 19.6% | 14.6% | 11.1% | 5.9% | 1.2% |
| Clare Wagner | 7.5% | 11.7% | 14.1% | 17.3% | 17.5% | 16.7% | 10.8% | 4.4% |
| Tan Tonge | 5.0% | 7.8% | 11.7% | 15.2% | 19.2% | 18.7% | 15.2% | 7.3% |
| Jane Caroline Minchew | 2.4% | 4.4% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 12.8% | 18.2% | 23.6% | 23.9% |
| Katie Kellam | 1.6% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 11.8% | 19.4% | 47.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.