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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.8
Avg Position Diff
24
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Southern California2.64+3.11vs Predicted
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2University of California at San Diego1.81+4.81vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Barbara2.49+1.64vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Barbara2.06+1.91vs Predicted
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5California State University Channel Islands0.37+8.03vs Predicted
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6University of California at Los Angeles0.82+5.11vs Predicted
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7University of California at Irvine1.35+1.46vs Predicted
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8University of Southern California0.62+4.01vs Predicted
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9University of California at San Diego-1.18+10.01vs Predicted
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10University of California at Irvine0.08+4.30vs Predicted
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11California State University Channel Islands0.37+2.03vs Predicted
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12University of California at Santa Barbara0.40+0.72vs Predicted
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13University of California at San Diego0.31+0.36vs Predicted
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14Arizona State University1.51-5.95vs Predicted
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15Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.75-3.38vs Predicted
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16University of California at Irvine0.90-5.05vs Predicted
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17Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.16-3.11vs Predicted
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18University of California at Los Angeles-0.36-1.69vs Predicted
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19University of Southern California1.52-11.17vs Predicted
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20University of California at Los Angeles-0.23-4.54vs Predicted
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21California State University Channel Islands0.37-7.97vs Predicted
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22University of California at San Diego0.43-9.15vs Predicted
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23University of California at San Diego0.12-8.92vs Predicted
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24University of California at San Diego-0.46-7.52vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.11University of Southern California2.640.2%1st Place
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6.81University of California at San Diego1.810.1%1st Place
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4.64University of California at Santa Barbara2.490.1%1st Place
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5.91University of California at Santa Barbara2.060.1%1st Place
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13.03California State University Channel Islands0.370.0%1st Place
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11.11University of California at Los Angeles0.820.0%1st Place
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8.46University of California at Irvine1.350.1%1st Place
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12.01University of Southern California0.620.0%1st Place
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19.01University of California at San Diego-1.180.0%1st Place
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14.3University of California at Irvine0.080.0%1st Place
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13.03California State University Channel Islands0.370.0%1st Place
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12.72University of California at Santa Barbara0.400.0%1st Place
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13.36University of California at San Diego0.310.0%1st Place
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8.05Arizona State University1.510.1%1st Place
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11.62Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.750.0%1st Place
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10.95University of California at Irvine0.900.0%1st Place
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13.89Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.160.0%1st Place
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16.31University of California at Los Angeles-0.360.0%1st Place
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7.83University of Southern California1.520.1%1st Place
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15.46University of California at Los Angeles-0.230.0%1st Place
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13.03California State University Channel Islands0.370.0%1st Place
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12.85University of California at San Diego0.430.0%1st Place
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14.08University of California at San Diego0.120.0%1st Place
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16.48University of California at San Diego-0.460.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cameron Hutcheson | 19.1% | 15.7% | 15.9% | 11.2% | 10.6% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicolas Delfino | 8.9% | 8.0% | 10.0% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cobi Allen | 14.4% | 16.1% | 12.2% | 11.5% | 11.4% | 9.4% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Godfrey | 10.5% | 10.9% | 10.2% | 11.0% | 9.9% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jeffrey Tedmori | 2.8% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 2.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Erica Parker | 3.0% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Weis | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Evan Kort | 4.0% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| David Luu | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 9.3% | 12.7% | 43.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| James Heller | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 4.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jeffrey Tedmori | 2.8% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 2.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lucas Ryder | 2.2% | 1.7% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brett Farrell | 1.3% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 2.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Spenser Branch | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Graham Bultema | 3.1% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kate Andersen | 2.6% | 2.4% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Peter Carle | 1.8% | 1.2% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 9.4% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 3.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Robert Loughnan | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 14.3% | 13.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kendall Sanson | 5.4% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Beutter | 0.8% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 11.1% | 10.4% | 8.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jeffrey Tedmori | 2.8% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 2.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Yan Rui Goheen | 2.3% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Naveen Kashyap | 2.3% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 4.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jiachao Yang | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 11.9% | 14.5% | 13.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.