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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Duke University0.26+2.20vs Predicted
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2North Carolina State University1.53-0.25vs Predicted
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3Catholic University of America-0.40+1.35vs Predicted
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4Georgia Institute of Technology-0.73+0.87vs Predicted
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5North Carolina State University-0.10-1.26vs Predicted
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6University of Georgia-1.97+0.69vs Predicted
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7North Carolina State University-1.44-1.06vs Predicted
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8Clemson University-1.16-2.53vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.2Duke University0.2614.5%1st Place
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1.75North Carolina State University1.5354.2%1st Place
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4.35Catholic University of America-0.406.8%1st Place
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4.87Georgia Institute of Technology-0.735.4%1st Place
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3.74North Carolina State University-0.1011.4%1st Place
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6.69University of Georgia-1.971.4%1st Place
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5.94North Carolina State University-1.442.6%1st Place
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5.47Clemson University-1.163.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ian Connolly | 14.5% | 23.4% | 22.4% | 19.7% | 11.1% | 5.9% | 2.5% | 0.5% |
| Jacob Usher | 54.2% | 25.8% | 13.3% | 5.0% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Clare Wagner | 6.8% | 12.7% | 14.7% | 17.1% | 19.4% | 15.8% | 10.2% | 3.5% |
| Tan Tonge | 5.4% | 9.2% | 12.4% | 13.5% | 17.2% | 17.9% | 16.7% | 7.7% |
| Will Finch | 11.4% | 16.5% | 19.8% | 19.6% | 14.2% | 11.0% | 5.9% | 1.7% |
| Katie Kellam | 1.4% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 8.2% | 12.7% | 20.1% | 46.9% |
| Jane Caroline Minchew | 2.6% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 10.1% | 11.8% | 17.4% | 23.9% | 24.3% |
| Paige Berta | 3.8% | 5.6% | 8.2% | 10.8% | 16.7% | 18.9% | 20.7% | 15.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.