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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1North Carolina State University1.53+0.74vs Predicted
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2Duke University0.26+1.17vs Predicted
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3North Carolina State University-0.10+0.82vs Predicted
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4Catholic University of America-0.40+0.34vs Predicted
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5Georgia Institute of Technology-0.73-0.17vs Predicted
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6University of Georgia-1.97+0.64vs Predicted
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7North Carolina State University-1.44-1.03vs Predicted
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8Clemson University-1.16-2.52vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.74North Carolina State University1.5353.3%1st Place
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3.17Duke University0.2615.0%1st Place
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3.82North Carolina State University-0.1010.2%1st Place
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4.34Catholic University of America-0.407.0%1st Place
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4.83Georgia Institute of Technology-0.735.7%1st Place
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6.64University of Georgia-1.971.3%1st Place
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5.97North Carolina State University-1.443.5%1st Place
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5.48Clemson University-1.164.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jacob Usher | 53.3% | 27.7% | 12.7% | 4.6% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ian Connolly | 15.0% | 23.2% | 24.1% | 17.4% | 11.3% | 5.8% | 2.6% | 0.4% |
| Will Finch | 10.2% | 15.6% | 19.1% | 19.4% | 17.4% | 11.3% | 5.1% | 1.9% |
| Clare Wagner | 7.0% | 12.2% | 14.9% | 17.9% | 18.9% | 14.8% | 10.5% | 3.6% |
| Tan Tonge | 5.7% | 8.5% | 11.7% | 15.8% | 18.4% | 17.7% | 14.6% | 7.6% |
| Katie Kellam | 1.3% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 8.3% | 11.6% | 19.9% | 46.7% |
| Jane Caroline Minchew | 3.5% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 10.7% | 18.2% | 23.6% | 26.2% |
| Paige Berta | 4.0% | 5.2% | 7.8% | 12.2% | 13.5% | 20.3% | 23.6% | 13.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.