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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Duke University0.26+2.19vs Predicted
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2North Carolina State University1.53-0.24vs Predicted
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3Catholic University of America-0.40+1.37vs Predicted
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4North Carolina State University-0.10-0.31vs Predicted
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5Georgia Institute of Technology-0.73-0.09vs Predicted
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6North Carolina State University-1.44-0.09vs Predicted
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7University of Georgia-1.97-0.40vs Predicted
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8Clemson University-1.16-2.44vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.19Duke University0.2615.7%1st Place
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1.76North Carolina State University1.5352.1%1st Place
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4.37Catholic University of America-0.407.0%1st Place
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3.69North Carolina State University-0.1011.8%1st Place
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4.91Georgia Institute of Technology-0.734.9%1st Place
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5.91North Carolina State University-1.442.8%1st Place
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6.6University of Georgia-1.972.3%1st Place
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5.56Clemson University-1.163.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ian Connolly | 15.7% | 22.1% | 24.1% | 17.1% | 11.9% | 5.9% | 3.0% | 0.4% |
| Jacob Usher | 52.1% | 28.2% | 12.7% | 5.3% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Clare Wagner | 7.0% | 11.2% | 16.7% | 16.8% | 18.3% | 16.0% | 10.2% | 4.0% |
| Will Finch | 11.8% | 16.8% | 18.1% | 20.6% | 16.4% | 10.0% | 5.1% | 1.2% |
| Tan Tonge | 4.9% | 8.3% | 11.2% | 15.8% | 18.1% | 17.6% | 16.5% | 7.6% |
| Jane Caroline Minchew | 2.8% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 9.0% | 12.0% | 18.6% | 24.8% | 22.7% |
| Katie Kellam | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 8.0% | 12.2% | 18.8% | 47.0% |
| Paige Berta | 3.5% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 10.1% | 14.1% | 19.8% | 21.5% | 17.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.