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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1North Carolina State University1.53+0.70vs Predicted
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2Clemson University-1.16+3.25vs Predicted
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3Duke University0.26+0.09vs Predicted
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4North Carolina State University-0.10-0.48vs Predicted
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5Georgia Institute of Technology-0.73-0.28vs Predicted
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6North Carolina State University-1.44-0.34vs Predicted
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7Catholic University of America-1.27-1.49vs Predicted
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8University of Georgia-1.97-1.45vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.7North Carolina State University1.5354.4%1st Place
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5.25Clemson University-1.164.5%1st Place
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3.09Duke University0.2615.6%1st Place
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3.52North Carolina State University-0.1011.7%1st Place
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4.72Georgia Institute of Technology-0.735.0%1st Place
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5.66North Carolina State University-1.443.4%1st Place
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5.51Catholic University of America-1.273.9%1st Place
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6.55University of Georgia-1.971.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jacob Usher | 54.4% | 27.7% | 12.8% | 3.8% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Paige Berta | 4.5% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 13.2% | 17.1% | 17.6% | 18.6% | 13.2% |
| Ian Connolly | 15.6% | 24.3% | 23.2% | 17.2% | 13.4% | 4.7% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Will Finch | 11.7% | 19.7% | 21.1% | 20.1% | 13.7% | 8.8% | 4.1% | 1.0% |
| Tan Tonge | 5.0% | 8.2% | 14.8% | 16.6% | 18.3% | 18.1% | 13.2% | 5.9% |
| Jane Caroline Minchew | 3.4% | 4.9% | 7.6% | 11.2% | 12.8% | 18.9% | 21.1% | 20.0% |
| Benedict Gorman | 3.9% | 5.4% | 8.2% | 11.8% | 14.7% | 18.2% | 20.6% | 17.2% |
| Katie Kellam | 1.6% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 6.0% | 8.9% | 13.4% | 21.1% | 42.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.