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📊 Prediction Accuracy

80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Matthew McCarvill 3.8% 5.7% 8.0% 13.8% 16.1% 15.8% 15.2% 11.9% 7.3% 2.5%
Jonathan Wittick 39.7% 28.8% 17.9% 9.4% 2.9% 0.9% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Alexander Salzberg 28.7% 26.5% 22.8% 13.4% 5.6% 1.9% 0.8% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Alexandros Chalvatzakis 3.9% 6.2% 7.7% 12.0% 16.0% 15.8% 15.2% 11.8% 7.1% 4.2%
Kevin Ryan 14.4% 19.3% 24.2% 20.6% 12.2% 6.2% 2.2% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
Tyler Needham 2.0% 2.1% 3.2% 5.5% 7.8% 12.0% 12.3% 15.0% 19.1% 20.8%
Cooper Bennett 1.8% 2.9% 4.2% 7.0% 10.9% 12.6% 13.0% 15.3% 17.0% 15.4%
Charlotte Shaw 2.5% 3.5% 5.7% 7.8% 11.2% 14.5% 15.6% 15.5% 14.5% 9.2%
George Wood 1.7% 3.2% 3.2% 5.7% 9.8% 11.5% 13.5% 16.4% 17.0% 18.1%
Joseph Arrigo 1.6% 1.8% 3.0% 4.7% 7.4% 8.8% 12.0% 13.0% 17.8% 29.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.