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📊 Prediction Accuracy
80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.71+4.62vs Predicted
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2Fordham University1.47+0.11vs Predicted
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3Washington College1.15-0.49vs Predicted
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4Princeton University-0.86+1.69vs Predicted
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5U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.60-1.71vs Predicted
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6University of Delaware-1.70+1.36vs Predicted
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7Rutgers University-1.52-0.01vs Predicted
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8Drexel University-1.17-1.43vs Predicted
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9Washington College-1.65-1.83vs Predicted
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10Monmouth University-1.93-2.30vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.62U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.713.8%1st Place
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2.11Fordham University1.4739.7%1st Place
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2.51Washington College1.1528.7%1st Place
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5.69Princeton University-0.863.9%1st Place
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3.29U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.6014.4%1st Place
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7.36University of Delaware-1.702.0%1st Place
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6.99Rutgers University-1.521.8%1st Place
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6.57Drexel University-1.172.5%1st Place
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7.17Washington College-1.651.7%1st Place
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7.7Monmouth University-1.931.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Matthew McCarvill | 3.8% | 5.7% | 8.0% | 13.8% | 16.1% | 15.8% | 15.2% | 11.9% | 7.3% | 2.5% |
Jonathan Wittick | 39.7% | 28.8% | 17.9% | 9.4% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Alexander Salzberg | 28.7% | 26.5% | 22.8% | 13.4% | 5.6% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Alexandros Chalvatzakis | 3.9% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 12.0% | 16.0% | 15.8% | 15.2% | 11.8% | 7.1% | 4.2% |
Kevin Ryan | 14.4% | 19.3% | 24.2% | 20.6% | 12.2% | 6.2% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
Tyler Needham | 2.0% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 12.0% | 12.3% | 15.0% | 19.1% | 20.8% |
Cooper Bennett | 1.8% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 7.0% | 10.9% | 12.6% | 13.0% | 15.3% | 17.0% | 15.4% |
Charlotte Shaw | 2.5% | 3.5% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 11.2% | 14.5% | 15.6% | 15.5% | 14.5% | 9.2% |
George Wood | 1.7% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 5.7% | 9.8% | 11.5% | 13.5% | 16.4% | 17.0% | 18.1% |
Joseph Arrigo | 1.6% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 12.0% | 13.0% | 17.8% | 29.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.