← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Washington2.13+1.74vs Predicted
-
2University of Victoria1.08+2.50vs Predicted
-
4Western Washington University1.62-0.47vs Predicted
-
5University of Washington2.14-2.21vs Predicted
-
7University of Puget Sound0.03-0.90vs Predicted
-
8Western Washington University1.49-4.24vs Predicted
-
10University of Puget Sound-0.81-2.92vs Predicted
-
11University of Victoria0.40-5.50vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.74University of Washington2.130.3%1st Place
-
4.5University of Victoria1.080.1%1st Place
-
3.53Western Washington University1.620.2%1st Place
-
2.79University of Washington2.140.3%1st Place
-
6.1University of Puget Sound0.030.0%1st Place
-
3.76Western Washington University1.490.1%1st Place
-
7.08University of Puget Sound-0.810.0%1st Place
-
5.5University of Victoria0.400.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bradley Sainsbury | 27.5% | 23.2% | 20.0% | 14.0% | 9.4% | 4.0% | 1.7% | 0.2% |
| Martin Van Den Berghe | 8.5% | 10.2% | 11.6% | 16.4% | 18.6% | 18.5% | 13.2% | 3.0% |
| Ashley Vincent | 16.4% | 15.5% | 19.7% | 17.0% | 15.1% | 12.0% | 3.7% | 0.6% |
| Antonio Johnson | 25.3% | 24.8% | 18.4% | 15.3% | 10.5% | 4.6% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Michael Trombatore | 2.6% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 9.7% | 17.3% | 33.3% | 21.6% |
| Andrew Nelson | 13.6% | 14.9% | 17.4% | 18.0% | 16.6% | 12.4% | 6.0% | 1.1% |
| Hannah Schneider-Lynch | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 4.9% | 7.9% | 17.8% | 61.2% |
| Meigan Blunt | 4.3% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 10.2% | 15.2% | 23.3% | 23.4% | 12.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.