Race 4A

south-series-7

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

21.4%
Within 2 Positions
4.4
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Owen Richardson 5.8% 8.5% 9.7% 9.3% 8.7% 10.3% 9.4% 10.8% 9.5% 6.8% 5.5% 3.6% 1.8% 0.3%
Christopher Simeone 6.8% 8.6% 7.9% 9.3% 8.4% 9.4% 9.5% 12.5% 8.9% 6.4% 7.6% 3.2% 1.1% 0.4%
Peter Giuliano 8.6% 9.1% 9.6% 10.8% 9.0% 11.0% 10.6% 9.2% 9.4% 6.0% 4.3% 1.7% 0.7% 0.0%
Thomas Chronert 3.3% 4.0% 5.7% 5.8% 8.1% 7.4% 8.9% 8.9% 10.1% 13.0% 11.6% 6.8% 4.7% 1.7%
Matthew Shapiro 13.8% 15.9% 15.1% 11.9% 12.4% 8.7% 8.6% 6.4% 3.5% 1.6% 1.2% 0.5% 0.4% 0.0%
Andrew Tamblyn 15.6% 12.2% 13.8% 13.4% 11.9% 9.7% 7.0% 7.0% 4.8% 2.8% 1.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
Santiago Enrique 1.5% 1.0% 2.0% 2.0% 2.0% 3.7% 4.5% 4.0% 5.5% 7.7% 10.7% 15.4% 22.2% 17.8%
William Cotta 9.7% 8.7% 8.9% 9.6% 10.9% 8.9% 10.9% 8.7% 8.2% 7.4% 5.1% 2.3% 0.6% 0.1%
Nathan Stevens 3.8% 2.6% 3.7% 4.2% 5.2% 5.4% 6.8% 8.1% 11.4% 13.7% 13.0% 10.4% 7.9% 3.8%
Tom McKenzie 1.4% 1.3% 1.2% 1.7% 1.3% 1.6% 2.7% 4.3% 5.6% 6.5% 11.0% 16.9% 20.1% 24.4%
Zachary Foreman 0.5% 1.2% 1.5% 0.7% 1.7% 1.4% 1.2% 2.1% 4.8% 6.6% 8.1% 14.7% 19.8% 35.7%
Matthew Charpentier 1.2% 1.7% 1.7% 2.9% 2.5% 3.3% 3.7% 4.7% 6.6% 10.9% 11.9% 17.2% 17.2% 14.5%
Robert Keller 5.4% 5.9% 6.1% 6.1% 6.6% 9.1% 10.9% 10.3% 10.3% 9.5% 8.2% 6.9% 3.4% 1.3%
Natalie Salk 22.6% 19.3% 13.1% 12.3% 11.3% 10.1% 5.3% 3.0% 1.4% 1.1% 0.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.