Race 1A

vietor

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Gus Macaulay 11.9% 12.0% 12.2% 14.1% 11.1% 9.7% 7.1% 6.7% 5.5% 4.7% 3.5% 1.2% 0.3%
Peter Foley 15.4% 13.8% 12.4% 11.7% 10.5% 9.0% 8.7% 6.6% 5.3% 3.8% 2.2% 0.6% 0.1%
Nathaniel Hartwell 5.1% 5.7% 6.2% 7.3% 7.3% 5.9% 8.2% 8.2% 8.3% 11.1% 10.9% 10.5% 5.2%
Skylor Sweet 9.3% 8.8% 9.6% 8.9% 9.2% 10.2% 9.7% 8.2% 9.2% 7.0% 5.0% 3.6% 1.1%
Jack Crager 9.7% 9.2% 8.3% 9.3% 9.4% 9.2% 8.4% 10.2% 8.9% 6.9% 5.7% 3.4% 1.4%
Everett Botwinick 14.0% 14.2% 12.8% 11.0% 10.0% 9.2% 7.8% 7.0% 4.9% 5.3% 2.5% 0.8% 0.5%
Olivia Lowthian 3.0% 2.2% 3.8% 3.1% 4.8% 5.3% 5.6% 6.3% 7.6% 10.5% 12.6% 18.6% 16.5%
Adrian Winkelman 7.8% 8.3% 7.6% 8.3% 7.8% 9.4% 9.0% 9.2% 10.1% 9.2% 7.5% 4.0% 1.7%
Pierson Falk 3.5% 4.6% 4.9% 5.3% 5.5% 5.4% 6.8% 7.8% 9.4% 8.8% 12.7% 15.0% 10.3%
Tiernan O'Kane 1.5% 1.9% 2.1% 1.5% 1.8% 2.9% 2.9% 3.5% 4.3% 6.2% 10.1% 15.2% 46.3%
Gavin Sanborn 6.2% 6.1% 6.5% 6.5% 8.6% 7.4% 8.3% 10.1% 10.2% 9.6% 9.2% 7.8% 3.5%
David Vinogradov 9.3% 8.8% 9.3% 8.0% 8.6% 10.2% 10.7% 8.8% 8.2% 7.2% 5.3% 3.9% 1.7%
Sam Harris 3.3% 4.3% 4.4% 5.1% 5.2% 6.0% 7.0% 7.5% 8.1% 9.8% 13.0% 15.1% 11.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.