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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Duke University0.26+2.03vs Predicted
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2North Carolina State University1.53-0.32vs Predicted
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3Clemson University-1.16+2.30vs Predicted
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4North Carolina State University-1.44+1.79vs Predicted
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5North Carolina State University-0.10-1.43vs Predicted
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6Georgia Institute of Technology-0.73-1.31vs Predicted
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7University of Georgia-1.97-0.49vs Predicted
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8Catholic University of America-1.27-2.58vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.03Duke University0.2615.8%1st Place
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1.68North Carolina State University1.5356.0%1st Place
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5.3Clemson University-1.163.6%1st Place
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5.79North Carolina State University-1.442.4%1st Place
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3.57North Carolina State University-0.1011.2%1st Place
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4.69Georgia Institute of Technology-0.735.8%1st Place
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6.51University of Georgia-1.971.5%1st Place
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5.42Catholic University of America-1.273.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ian Connolly | 15.8% | 26.7% | 22.8% | 17.2% | 10.8% | 5.1% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Jacob Usher | 56.0% | 26.5% | 12.3% | 3.6% | 1.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Paige Berta | 3.6% | 6.2% | 9.0% | 14.2% | 15.7% | 19.7% | 19.3% | 12.4% |
| Jane Caroline Minchew | 2.4% | 4.9% | 7.3% | 10.0% | 14.0% | 17.5% | 21.7% | 22.2% |
| Will Finch | 11.2% | 17.6% | 22.6% | 19.4% | 15.5% | 8.8% | 4.3% | 0.7% |
| Tan Tonge | 5.8% | 9.6% | 12.0% | 17.1% | 19.0% | 16.6% | 14.1% | 5.9% |
| Katie Kellam | 1.5% | 2.8% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 14.0% | 19.9% | 42.6% |
| Benedict Gorman | 3.8% | 5.8% | 9.0% | 12.2% | 15.7% | 18.2% | 19.6% | 15.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.