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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1North Carolina State University1.53+0.71vs Predicted
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2Duke University0.26+1.09vs Predicted
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3North Carolina State University-0.10+0.61vs Predicted
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4North Carolina State University-1.44+1.75vs Predicted
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5Georgia Institute of Technology-0.73-0.28vs Predicted
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6University of Georgia-1.97+0.50vs Predicted
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7Clemson University-1.16-1.80vs Predicted
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8Catholic University of America-1.27-2.57vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.71North Carolina State University1.5354.2%1st Place
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3.09Duke University0.2616.3%1st Place
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3.61North Carolina State University-0.1010.4%1st Place
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5.75North Carolina State University-1.443.2%1st Place
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4.72Georgia Institute of Technology-0.735.1%1st Place
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6.5University of Georgia-1.971.7%1st Place
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5.2Clemson University-1.165.0%1st Place
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5.43Catholic University of America-1.274.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jacob Usher | 54.2% | 27.8% | 12.0% | 4.5% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ian Connolly | 16.3% | 24.1% | 22.7% | 17.3% | 12.2% | 5.6% | 1.7% | 0.1% |
| Will Finch | 10.4% | 17.8% | 22.1% | 20.7% | 15.2% | 7.9% | 4.7% | 1.1% |
| Jane Caroline Minchew | 3.2% | 4.9% | 7.4% | 10.1% | 12.4% | 18.1% | 22.2% | 21.6% |
| Tan Tonge | 5.1% | 9.6% | 13.6% | 15.9% | 18.3% | 17.8% | 13.1% | 6.7% |
| Katie Kellam | 1.7% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 12.3% | 19.4% | 43.1% |
| Paige Berta | 5.0% | 7.0% | 9.6% | 12.4% | 16.7% | 18.6% | 18.9% | 11.8% |
| Benedict Gorman | 4.0% | 6.0% | 8.5% | 11.8% | 14.8% | 19.4% | 20.0% | 15.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.