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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
24
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Barbara1.72+5.07vs Predicted
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2University of California at Irvine1.71+4.06vs Predicted
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3University of Southern California2.47+0.89vs Predicted
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4California State University Channel Islands0.50+6.87vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Barbara1.46+2.02vs Predicted
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6University of California at Los Angeles1.39+1.18vs Predicted
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7California State University Channel Islands0.50+3.87vs Predicted
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8University of Southern California0.85+1.12vs Predicted
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9University of California at San Diego0.49+2.05vs Predicted
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10University of California at San Diego-0.36+4.60vs Predicted
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11Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.39-3.97vs Predicted
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12University of California at Irvine-1.02+5.00vs Predicted
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13University of California at Santa Barbara-0.07+0.46vs Predicted
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14University of California at San Diego-0.05-0.75vs Predicted
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15University of California at San Diego1.60-8.31vs Predicted
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16University of California at Los Angeles-0.78+0.60vs Predicted
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17University of California at Los Angeles-0.82-0.69vs Predicted
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18Arizona State University-1.11-0.34vs Predicted
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19University of Southern California0.78-9.35vs Predicted
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20University of California at San Diego-0.64-4.40vs Predicted
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21Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.05-7.58vs Predicted
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22University of California at Irvine-0.54-6.78vs Predicted
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23University of California at San Diego-0.54-7.77vs Predicted
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24California State University Channel Islands0.50-13.13vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.07University of California at Santa Barbara1.720.1%1st Place
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6.06University of California at Irvine1.710.1%1st Place
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3.89University of Southern California2.470.2%1st Place
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10.87California State University Channel Islands0.500.0%1st Place
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7.02University of California at Santa Barbara1.460.1%1st Place
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7.18University of California at Los Angeles1.390.1%1st Place
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10.87California State University Channel Islands0.500.0%1st Place
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9.12University of Southern California0.850.1%1st Place
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11.05University of California at San Diego0.490.0%1st Place
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14.6University of California at San Diego-0.360.0%1st Place
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7.03Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.390.1%1st Place
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17.0University of California at Irvine-1.020.0%1st Place
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13.46University of California at Santa Barbara-0.070.0%1st Place
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13.25University of California at San Diego-0.050.0%1st Place
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6.69University of California at San Diego1.600.1%1st Place
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16.6University of California at Los Angeles-0.780.0%1st Place
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16.31University of California at Los Angeles-0.820.0%1st Place
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17.66Arizona State University-1.110.0%1st Place
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9.65University of Southern California0.780.0%1st Place
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15.6University of California at San Diego-0.640.0%1st Place
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13.42Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.050.0%1st Place
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15.22University of California at Irvine-0.540.0%1st Place
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15.23University of California at San Diego-0.540.0%1st Place
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10.87California State University Channel Islands0.500.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grant Rickon | 10.1% | 10.0% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Heller | 11.1% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 13.3% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Coakley | 19.8% | 18.1% | 15.0% | 12.8% | 10.2% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kyle Clarke | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 7.7% | 5.0% | 8.9% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Remy Margerum | 8.5% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth Hays | 6.1% | 9.4% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kyle Clarke | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 7.7% | 5.0% | 8.9% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hollis Barth | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 8.0% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joseph McArdle | 4.5% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nils-Erik Rundquist | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 4.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| David Cornella | 6.7% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ellen Suder | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 11.0% | 12.8% | 16.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Anthony Helm | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Danielle Sams | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Olson | 8.2% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 10.4% | 9.2% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kimberly Alcorn | 0.3% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 11.0% | 11.5% | 10.8% | 13.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kevin Chao | 1.3% | 0.4% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 10.7% | 12.8% | 13.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Conor McGee | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 9.4% | 11.0% | 14.2% | 23.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Gebelein | 4.4% | 3.2% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 8.6% | 5.5% | 8.3% | 5.2% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alex Sinclair | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 9.5% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 9.7% | 11.9% | 7.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jonathan Mintz | 2.1% | 1.1% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Diaz | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 10.4% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jason Barr | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 9.9% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 6.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kyle Clarke | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 7.7% | 5.0% | 8.9% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.