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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Duke University0.26+2.02vs Predicted
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2North Carolina State University-0.09+1.55vs Predicted
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3North Carolina State University1.53-1.28vs Predicted
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4Clemson University-1.16+1.31vs Predicted
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5Catholic University of America-1.27+0.49vs Predicted
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6University of Georgia-1.97+0.50vs Predicted
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7Georgia Institute of Technology-0.73-2.31vs Predicted
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8North Carolina State University-1.44-2.27vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.02Duke University0.2616.5%1st Place
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3.55North Carolina State University-0.0911.9%1st Place
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1.72North Carolina State University1.5353.3%1st Place
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5.31Clemson University-1.163.5%1st Place
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5.49Catholic University of America-1.273.4%1st Place
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6.5University of Georgia-1.972.0%1st Place
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4.69Georgia Institute of Technology-0.736.4%1st Place
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5.73North Carolina State University-1.442.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ian Connolly | 16.5% | 25.2% | 24.9% | 16.6% | 9.6% | 5.0% | 2.0% | 0.2% |
| Blake Daniel | 11.9% | 18.9% | 20.2% | 19.7% | 15.0% | 10.0% | 3.4% | 0.9% |
| Jacob Usher | 53.3% | 28.4% | 12.8% | 4.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Paige Berta | 3.5% | 6.2% | 9.7% | 13.7% | 15.3% | 20.4% | 17.8% | 13.3% |
| Benedict Gorman | 3.4% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 12.2% | 16.4% | 18.2% | 19.6% | 16.7% |
| Katie Kellam | 2.0% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 6.6% | 9.1% | 11.7% | 21.6% | 42.2% |
| Tan Tonge | 6.4% | 8.3% | 12.7% | 17.1% | 18.5% | 17.4% | 14.0% | 5.5% |
| Jane Caroline Minchew | 2.9% | 4.7% | 7.7% | 9.7% | 15.3% | 17.0% | 21.6% | 21.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.