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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.4
Avg Position Diff
24
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Barbara1.46+6.02vs Predicted
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2California State University Channel Islands0.50+8.92vs Predicted
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3University of California at San Diego1.60+3.61vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Barbara1.72+2.03vs Predicted
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5University of California at San Diego0.49+5.98vs Predicted
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6University of California at Irvine1.71+0.04vs Predicted
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7University of Southern California2.47-3.29vs Predicted
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8Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.39-0.64vs Predicted
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9University of Southern California0.78+0.62vs Predicted
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10University of California at San Diego-0.05+3.16vs Predicted
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11University of Southern California0.85-1.83vs Predicted
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12University of California at Los Angeles-0.78+4.36vs Predicted
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13University of California at San Diego-0.36+1.60vs Predicted
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14Arizona State University-1.11+3.61vs Predicted
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15University of California at Los Angeles1.39-7.55vs Predicted
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16University of California at Santa Barbara-0.07-2.74vs Predicted
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17California State University Channel Islands0.50-6.08vs Predicted
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18University of California at Irvine-1.02-0.70vs Predicted
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19University of California at Los Angeles-0.82-2.61vs Predicted
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20Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.05-6.91vs Predicted
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21University of California at San Diego-0.54-5.55vs Predicted
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22University of California at San Diego-0.64-6.36vs Predicted
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23University of California at Irvine-0.54-7.79vs Predicted
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24California State University Channel Islands0.50-13.08vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.02University of California at Santa Barbara1.460.1%1st Place
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10.92California State University Channel Islands0.500.0%1st Place
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6.61University of California at San Diego1.600.1%1st Place
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6.03University of California at Santa Barbara1.720.1%1st Place
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10.98University of California at San Diego0.490.0%1st Place
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6.04University of California at Irvine1.710.1%1st Place
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3.71University of Southern California2.470.2%1st Place
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7.36Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.390.1%1st Place
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9.62University of Southern California0.780.0%1st Place
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13.16University of California at San Diego-0.050.0%1st Place
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9.17University of Southern California0.850.0%1st Place
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16.36University of California at Los Angeles-0.780.0%1st Place
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14.6University of California at San Diego-0.360.0%1st Place
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17.61Arizona State University-1.110.0%1st Place
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7.45University of California at Los Angeles1.390.1%1st Place
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13.26University of California at Santa Barbara-0.070.0%1st Place
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10.92California State University Channel Islands0.500.0%1st Place
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17.3University of California at Irvine-1.020.0%1st Place
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16.39University of California at Los Angeles-0.820.0%1st Place
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13.09Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.050.0%1st Place
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15.45University of California at San Diego-0.540.0%1st Place
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15.64University of California at San Diego-0.640.0%1st Place
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15.21University of California at Irvine-0.540.0%1st Place
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10.92California State University Channel Islands0.500.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Remy Margerum | 7.9% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kyle Clarke | 3.5% | 1.9% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Olson | 8.4% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 9.8% | 7.7% | 10.1% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Grant Rickon | 9.4% | 10.4% | 10.8% | 11.0% | 9.4% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joseph McArdle | 3.7% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Heller | 9.8% | 9.3% | 10.5% | 9.4% | 12.5% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Coakley | 23.6% | 18.5% | 14.6% | 11.1% | 10.7% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| David Cornella | 8.5% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Gebelein | 3.0% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Danielle Sams | 1.2% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hollis Barth | 4.7% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kimberly Alcorn | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 10.2% | 12.3% | 10.8% | 10.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nils-Erik Rundquist | 1.0% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 3.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Conor McGee | 0.8% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 9.9% | 13.5% | 24.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth Hays | 5.4% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 9.5% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Anthony Helm | 1.9% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 3.8% | 2.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kyle Clarke | 3.5% | 1.9% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ellen Suder | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 10.4% | 9.9% | 15.3% | 18.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kevin Chao | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 11.5% | 13.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jonathan Mintz | 1.5% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 3.2% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jason Barr | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 7.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alex Sinclair | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 10.3% | 10.4% | 9.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Diaz | 1.2% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 11.2% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kyle Clarke | 3.5% | 1.9% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.