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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Western Washington University0.23+5.65vs Predicted
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2Western Washington University0.64+3.69vs Predicted
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3University of Washington-0.25+5.38vs Predicted
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4Western Washington University0.26+2.41vs Predicted
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5University of Washington0.51+0.38vs Predicted
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6University of Oregon0.11+0.96vs Predicted
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7University of Washington0.74-1.88vs Predicted
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8Western Washington University0.22-1.38vs Predicted
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9Western Washington University-0.60+0.99vs Predicted
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10Western Washington University-0.47-1.02vs Predicted
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11Unknown School-0.71-1.14vs Predicted
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12Unknown School0.05-4.83vs Predicted
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13Unknown School-0.76-3.05vs Predicted
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14University of Washington-0.77-3.97vs Predicted
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15University of Washington-1.88-2.19vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.65Western Washington University0.237.4%1st Place
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5.69Western Washington University0.6410.5%1st Place
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8.38University of Washington-0.255.6%1st Place
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6.41Western Washington University0.269.2%1st Place
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5.38University of Washington0.5111.6%1st Place
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6.96University of Oregon0.118.1%1st Place
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5.12University of Washington0.7414.1%1st Place
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6.62Western Washington University0.228.0%1st Place
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9.99Western Washington University-0.602.9%1st Place
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8.98Western Washington University-0.474.9%1st Place
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9.86Unknown School-0.713.3%1st Place
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7.17Unknown School0.057.3%1st Place
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9.95Unknown School-0.763.0%1st Place
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10.03University of Washington-0.772.9%1st Place
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12.81University of Washington-1.881.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kira Blumhagen | 7.4% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 2.0% | 0.7% |
| Tyler Nolasco | 10.5% | 11.1% | 10.8% | 8.6% | 11.1% | 9.1% | 9.6% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Henry Stier | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 3.8% |
| Lucas Burzycki | 9.2% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 0.4% |
| Thomas Pentimonti | 11.6% | 11.5% | 11.7% | 11.6% | 9.8% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Emily Avey | 8.1% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 2.5% | 0.9% |
| Erin Pamplin | 14.1% | 11.6% | 11.7% | 11.9% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Hatcher Cox | 8.0% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 0.4% |
| Maxwell Dodd | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 12.2% | 14.0% | 9.2% |
| Matthew Lindburg | 4.9% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 10.9% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 5.1% |
| AXCELLE BELL | 3.3% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 10.4% | 12.0% | 13.5% | 8.9% |
| Kelly Pompermayer | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 1.2% |
| Christopher Sloggett | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 12.3% | 13.7% | 9.6% |
| Judah Wong | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 10.8% | 11.6% | 13.9% | 9.4% |
| Zoe Zoghlin | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 13.9% | 50.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.