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📊 Prediction Accuracy
26.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Washington0.74+4.13vs Predicted
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2University of Washington0.51+3.52vs Predicted
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3Western Washington University0.26+3.49vs Predicted
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4University of Washington-0.25+4.40vs Predicted
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5Western Washington University0.64+0.78vs Predicted
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6Western Washington University0.22+0.70vs Predicted
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7University of Oregon0.11-0.14vs Predicted
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8Western Washington University-0.60+1.94vs Predicted
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9Western Washington University0.23-2.48vs Predicted
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10Unknown School0.05-2.71vs Predicted
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11Western Washington University-0.47-2.06vs Predicted
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12Unknown School-0.71-2.11vs Predicted
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13Unknown School-0.76-3.15vs Predicted
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14University of Washington-0.77-4.07vs Predicted
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15University of Washington-1.88-2.24vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.13University of Washington0.7413.1%1st Place
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5.52University of Washington0.5110.2%1st Place
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6.49Western Washington University0.268.3%1st Place
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8.4University of Washington-0.255.1%1st Place
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5.78Western Washington University0.6410.8%1st Place
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6.7Western Washington University0.228.9%1st Place
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6.86University of Oregon0.118.9%1st Place
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9.94Western Washington University-0.602.9%1st Place
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6.52Western Washington University0.239.4%1st Place
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7.29Unknown School0.057.8%1st Place
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8.94Western Washington University-0.474.2%1st Place
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9.89Unknown School-0.713.1%1st Place
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9.85Unknown School-0.763.0%1st Place
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9.93University of Washington-0.772.9%1st Place
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12.76University of Washington-1.881.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Erin Pamplin | 13.1% | 13.1% | 11.9% | 11.7% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Thomas Pentimonti | 10.2% | 11.3% | 11.8% | 10.6% | 10.5% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Lucas Burzycki | 8.3% | 9.1% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 0.4% |
| Henry Stier | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 6.9% | 3.1% |
| Tyler Nolasco | 10.8% | 11.3% | 9.7% | 10.0% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Hatcher Cox | 8.9% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 0.7% |
| Emily Avey | 8.9% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 0.8% |
| Maxwell Dodd | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 10.4% | 12.4% | 13.4% | 10.2% |
| Kira Blumhagen | 9.4% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 0.4% |
| Kelly Pompermayer | 7.8% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 1.1% |
| Matthew Lindburg | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 10.1% | 9.8% | 9.5% | 5.2% |
| AXCELLE BELL | 3.1% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 13.0% | 13.7% | 8.2% |
| Christopher Sloggett | 3.0% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 13.0% | 13.7% | 9.4% |
| Judah Wong | 2.9% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 9.8% | 10.9% | 13.9% | 10.5% |
| Zoe Zoghlin | 1.2% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 13.2% | 49.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.