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📊 Prediction Accuracy
28.6%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Western Washington University-0.60+8.65vs Predicted
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2University of Washington0.51+3.16vs Predicted
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3Western Washington University0.22+3.45vs Predicted
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4Unknown School0.05+3.21vs Predicted
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5Western Washington University0.26+1.38vs Predicted
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6University of Washington-0.25+2.28vs Predicted
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7Western Washington University-0.47+1.92vs Predicted
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8University of Washington0.74-2.95vs Predicted
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9University of Washington-0.77+0.69vs Predicted
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10Unknown School-0.76-0.33vs Predicted
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11University of Oregon0.11-4.06vs Predicted
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12Unknown School-0.71-2.57vs Predicted
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13Western Washington University0.64-7.33vs Predicted
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14Western Washington University0.23-7.50vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.65Western Washington University-0.602.9%1st Place
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5.16University of Washington0.5113.3%1st Place
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6.45Western Washington University0.227.9%1st Place
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7.21Unknown School0.056.7%1st Place
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6.38Western Washington University0.268.9%1st Place
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8.28University of Washington-0.255.1%1st Place
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8.92Western Washington University-0.473.5%1st Place
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5.05University of Washington0.7414.1%1st Place
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9.69University of Washington-0.773.1%1st Place
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9.67Unknown School-0.763.5%1st Place
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6.94University of Oregon0.117.7%1st Place
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9.43Unknown School-0.713.8%1st Place
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5.67Western Washington University0.6410.7%1st Place
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6.5Western Washington University0.238.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maxwell Dodd | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 11.9% | 13.8% | 16.7% |
| Thomas Pentimonti | 13.3% | 12.2% | 12.2% | 11.3% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.5% |
| Hatcher Cox | 7.9% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 1.9% |
| Kelly Pompermayer | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 3.3% |
| Lucas Burzycki | 8.9% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 9.5% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 1.1% |
| Henry Stier | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 10.8% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 7.0% |
| Matthew Lindburg | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 10.0% | 10.6% | 12.6% | 10.0% |
| Erin Pamplin | 14.1% | 13.1% | 12.0% | 11.3% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Judah Wong | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 10.9% | 14.1% | 19.9% |
| Christopher Sloggett | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 11.1% | 14.1% | 18.3% |
| Emily Avey | 7.7% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 4.4% | 2.0% |
| AXCELLE BELL | 3.8% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 10.4% | 12.3% | 16.7% |
| Tyler Nolasco | 10.7% | 11.2% | 9.8% | 10.0% | 10.0% | 10.1% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 0.8% |
| Kira Blumhagen | 8.7% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 1.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.