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📊 Prediction Accuracy
28.6%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Western Washington University0.26+5.40vs Predicted
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2Western Washington University0.22+4.60vs Predicted
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3University of Washington-0.25+5.16vs Predicted
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4Western Washington University-0.60+5.62vs Predicted
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5Unknown School-0.76+4.65vs Predicted
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6University of Oregon0.11+0.80vs Predicted
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7Unknown School-0.71+2.59vs Predicted
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8Western Washington University-0.47+0.87vs Predicted
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9Unknown School0.05-1.77vs Predicted
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10University of Washington-0.77-0.32vs Predicted
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11Western Washington University0.64-5.35vs Predicted
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12University of Washington0.74-7.02vs Predicted
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13University of Washington0.51-7.69vs Predicted
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14Western Washington University0.23-7.52vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.4Western Washington University0.268.8%1st Place
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6.6Western Washington University0.227.2%1st Place
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8.16University of Washington-0.254.4%1st Place
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9.62Western Washington University-0.603.8%1st Place
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9.65Unknown School-0.763.1%1st Place
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6.8University of Oregon0.118.2%1st Place
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9.59Unknown School-0.713.2%1st Place
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8.87Western Washington University-0.474.5%1st Place
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7.23Unknown School0.056.8%1st Place
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9.68University of Washington-0.772.6%1st Place
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5.65Western Washington University0.6411.6%1st Place
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4.98University of Washington0.7415.0%1st Place
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5.31University of Washington0.5112.8%1st Place
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6.48Western Washington University0.238.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lucas Burzycki | 8.8% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 2.1% |
| Hatcher Cox | 7.2% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 9.4% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 1.5% |
| Henry Stier | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 5.8% |
| Maxwell Dodd | 3.8% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 10.2% | 14.0% | 18.2% |
| Christopher Sloggett | 3.1% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 10.4% | 10.8% | 13.1% | 18.6% |
| Emily Avey | 8.2% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 2.3% |
| AXCELLE BELL | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 10.8% | 13.9% | 17.8% |
| Matthew Lindburg | 4.5% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 10.0% | 10.3% | 11.6% | 10.6% |
| Kelly Pompermayer | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 2.4% |
| Judah Wong | 2.6% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 12.0% | 13.4% | 18.1% |
| Tyler Nolasco | 11.6% | 9.9% | 10.8% | 10.7% | 10.3% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 1.5% | 0.7% |
| Erin Pamplin | 15.0% | 11.9% | 12.3% | 10.5% | 10.1% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Thomas Pentimonti | 12.8% | 11.5% | 12.3% | 10.2% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Kira Blumhagen | 8.2% | 9.4% | 7.5% | 9.5% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 3.2% | 1.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.