Race 6A

frosh-soph

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

36.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Tyler Nolasco 14.3% 14.8% 12.5% 12.1% 10.2% 9.9% 9.2% 7.3% 5.1% 3.6% 0.9%
AXCELLE BELL 4.4% 4.2% 4.7% 6.5% 6.5% 7.4% 8.6% 9.8% 12.2% 15.3% 20.4%
Thomas Pentimonti 16.7% 15.0% 13.1% 12.6% 11.4% 9.8% 7.3% 6.8% 4.3% 2.1% 0.9%
Matthew Lindburg 5.3% 6.2% 6.7% 6.6% 8.2% 8.4% 9.6% 10.7% 11.8% 14.1% 12.3%
Erin Pamplin 17.5% 16.2% 14.4% 12.3% 11.0% 9.6% 7.6% 5.2% 3.8% 1.9% 0.4%
Kelly Pompermayer 8.6% 8.8% 9.6% 10.0% 10.9% 10.2% 11.3% 9.6% 9.6% 7.4% 4.0%
Christopher Sloggett 3.9% 4.2% 4.5% 4.8% 5.5% 7.7% 7.8% 9.0% 13.4% 17.8% 21.6%
Emily Avey 10.0% 9.2% 10.3% 11.2% 10.3% 9.5% 10.4% 10.8% 9.1% 5.7% 3.5%
Hatcher Cox 9.5% 10.1% 11.8% 11.1% 11.1% 11.3% 11.2% 9.4% 7.2% 5.0% 2.2%
Judah Wong 3.5% 4.2% 4.6% 4.8% 5.5% 7.0% 7.5% 9.3% 12.3% 16.3% 24.9%
Henry Stier 6.3% 7.1% 7.8% 8.0% 9.4% 9.2% 9.4% 12.0% 11.1% 10.7% 9.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.